Result
1:1
31/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (156/222) | 86% (373/435) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 53% (40/76) | 72% (73/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 31% (5/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 58% (7/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Ble M. ⚽,
- 36', Lo A. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
- 39', Etoga L. 🟨,
- 43', Vincent C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gueye I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
- 58', Meynadier T. 🟨,
- 65', Etoga L. 🟨,
- 66', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 66', Kouao K. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 70', Ble M. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
- 83', Stambouli B. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
- 83', Gueye I. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 89', Placide J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 90+4', Vincent C. ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Bastia
29.7% | Draw
30.3% | Metz
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia's form might have worsened.Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bastia - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.68) |
3.1 ↑
(3.05) |
2.35 ↓
(2.75) |
6.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Metz?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Metz will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2.
- Bastia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Metz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Bastia: Guevara J.
(Injury)
Tomi F.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Bastia won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:0 (average 2.2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Metz?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Bastia?
Metz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Metz were as follows:
19.08.2024
Metz
-
Bastia
1:1
02.06.2023
Metz
-
Bastia
3:2
17.09.2022
Bastia
-
Metz
1:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
