Ajaccio vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 31
  • Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.341.35
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
86% (428/497)84% (345/410)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.341.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.14
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3024
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
86% (428/497)84% (345/410)
Long passes
68% (36/53)64% (30/47)
Passes in final third
69% (90/130)73% (84/115)
Crosses
23% (6/26)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.02
Fouls
1210
Tackles
60% (6/10)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4441
Clearances Total
2529
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.141.68
Goals prevented
0.140.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Ruiz J. 🟨,
  • 22', Santelli B. (Pen),
  • 31', Mboup P. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Beusnard S. , Koudou T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mboup P. , Diawara K. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Kante A. , Santelli B. (A),
  • 62', Junior Pereira da Silva E. , Mangani T. ,
  • 66', Chahiri M. , Bangre M. ,
  • 71', Youssouf M. , Strata T. ,
  • 71', Santelli B. , Toure B. ,
  • 77', Koudou T. , Gaspar J. ,
  • 77', Kalulu J. , Obiang J. ,
  • 85', Boutaib K. , Arconte T. ,
  • 85', Kante A. , Chegra I. ,
  • 86', Kouassi A. , Ayessa J. ,

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
37.8%
Draw
30.5%
Pau
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 30% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 30.2% 31.3%

Ajaccio - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.5
(2.41)
3.06
(3.12)
2.96
(3.01)
6.5%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • There will not play in Pau: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury) Bobichon A. (Ankle Injury) Lopy J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Pau were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:0
    06.04.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:1
    21.10.2023 Ajaccio - Pau 2:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    11.04.2025 Troyes - Ajaccio 0:0
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    11.04.2025 Pau - Clermont 2:2
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0
    28.03.2025 Pau - Annecy 1:0
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National