Ajaccio vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 31
  • Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.341.35
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
86% (428/497)84% (345/410)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.341.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.14
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3024
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
86% (428/497)84% (345/410)
Long passes
68% (36/53)64% (30/47)
Passes in final third
69% (90/130)73% (84/115)
Crosses
23% (6/26)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.02
Fouls
1210
Tackles
60% (6/10)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4441
Clearances Total
2529
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.141.68
Goals prevented
0.140.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Ruiz J. 🟨,
  • 22', Santelli B. (Pen),
  • 31', Mboup P. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Beusnard S. , Koudou T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mboup P. , Diawara K. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Kante A. , Santelli B. (A),
  • 62', Junior Pereira da Silva E. , Mangani T. ,
  • 66', Chahiri M. , Bangre M. ,
  • 71', Youssouf M. , Strata T. ,
  • 71', Santelli B. , Toure B. ,
  • 77', Koudou T. , Gaspar J. ,
  • 77', Kalulu J. , Obiang J. ,
  • 85', Boutaib K. , Arconte T. ,
  • 85', Kante A. , Chegra I. ,
  • 86', Kouassi A. , Ayessa J. ,

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
37.8%
Draw
30.5%
Pau
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 30% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 30.2% 31.3%

Ajaccio - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.5
(2.41)
3.06
(3.12)
2.96
(3.01)
6.5%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Ajaccio (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ajaccio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • There will not play in Pau: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury) Bobichon A. (Ankle Injury) Lopy J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Pau were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:0
    06.04.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:1
    21.10.2023 Ajaccio - Pau 2:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    11.04.2025 Troyes - Ajaccio 0:0
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    11.04.2025 Pau - Clermont 2:2
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0
    28.03.2025 Pau - Annecy 1:0
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National