Ajax vs AGF Aarhus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Club Friendly Ajax - AGF Aarhus
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Club Friendly
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsraelSport 1, Sport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.93
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
91% (559/614)83% (295/354)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.26
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
4415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
119
Passes
91% (559/614)83% (295/354)
Long passes
58% (29/50)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
82% (124/151)66% (55/83)
Crosses
20% (2/10)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.87
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
911
Tackles
73% (8/11)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
2015
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.261.69
Goals prevented
0.260.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Links G. , Bach T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jaros V. , Pasveer R. ,
  • 46', Wijndal O. , Jetten L. ,
  • 46', Baas Y. , Mokio J. ,
  • 46', Edvardsen O. , Traore B. ,
  • 46', Fitz-Jim K. , Steur S. ,
  • 46', Weghorst W. , Brobbey B. ,
  • 46', Klaassen D. , Bounida R. ,
  • 46', Godts M. , Wolff K. ,
  • 46', Berghuis S. , Alders G. ,
  • 46', Sutalo J. , Bouwman A. ,
  • 46', Rosa L. , Kaplan A. ,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Steur S. , Traore B. (A),
  • 60', Emmery F. , Tchamche S. ,
  • 60', Jensen-Abbew J. , Dalsgaard H. ,
  • 60', Beijmo F. , Carstensen R. ,
  • 61', Bouwman A. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Tchamche S. ,
  • 72', Kahl E. 🟨,
  • 76', Poulsen N. , Yakob K. ,
  • 76', Mortensen P. , Serra J. ,
  • 76', Bech T. , Arnstad K. ,
  • 81', Kahl E. , Callo L. ,
  • 89', Bach T. , Kristjansson T. ,

Chances of winning


Ajax
62.5%
Draw
20.4%
AGF Aarhus
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 22.8% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.
  • AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Ajax - AGF Aarhus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.64)
    4.53
    (4)
    5.38
    (4.25)
    8.4%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Aarhus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aarhus has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ajax is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
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    Latest results of AGF Aarhus
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