Result
1:1
23/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 28
- Referee: Krogh M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (503/564) | 84% (347/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (503/564) | 84% (347/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (27/45) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (114/143) | 69% (83/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 71% (20/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Mortensen P. ⚽, Jorgensen S. (A),
- 45', Amoako P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Emmery F. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
- 65', Bech T. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
- 66', Sadio L. ↓, Nene L. ↑,
- 67', Markmann N. ↓, Rutkjaer V. ↑,
- 67', Lahteenmaki J. ↓, Gustafsen V. ↑,
- 71', Janssen J. 🟨,
- 78', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
- 78', Dalsgaard H. ↓, Tingager F. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Nene L. ⚽, Yirenkyi C. (A),
- 89', Brink M. ↓, Heyde M. ↑,
- 90', Jorgensen S. ↓, Kristjansson T. ↑,
- 90+1', Adel I. ↓, Rasmussen H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nordsjælland
32.3% | Draw
25.3% | AGF Aarhus
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)The chances for AGF Aarhus have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+1%)
Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.91) |
3.71 ↑
(3.65) |
2.23 ↑
(2.19) |
5.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nordsjælland will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aarhus will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 1.
- Nordsjælland has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aarhus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nordsjælland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nordsjælland: Alio S.
(Injury)
Ankersen P.
(Yellow Cards)
Busk J.
(Broken Leg)
Lind A.
(Yellow Cards)
Mohammed A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Carstensen R.
(Inactive)
Poulsen N.
(Yellow Cards)
Tchamche S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nordsjælland: Lahteenmaki J.
(Injury)
Rojkjaer N.
(Injury)
Solbakken O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Solbakken M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nordsjælland won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nordsjælland won against AGF Aarhus?
Nordsjælland has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Nordsjælland?
AGF Aarhus has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
10.04.2026
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
1:1
24.10.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
1:0
28.09.2025
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
1:2
16.05.2025
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
2:0
30.03.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
2:0
Latest results of Nordsjælland
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 67:30 | 37 | 58 |
| 2 | Aarhus | 29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 52:29 | 23 | 58 |
| 3 | Nordsjaelland | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 46:44 | 2 | 45 |
| 4 | Viborg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 43 |
| 5 | Brondby | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Sonderjyske | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:43 | -2 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
