Ajax vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Ajax - Excelsior
Result
2:2
24/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 31
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
greeceGreeceNova Sports
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV5
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub, Sport TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.16
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
89
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
23
Blocked Shots
12
Free Kicks
106
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
23
Throw-ins
2011
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Fouls
611
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
574429
Completed Passes
500348
Tackles
1022
Attacks
13597
Dangerous Attacks
6739
Clearances Completed
1217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Rensch D. , Taylor K. (A),
  • 36', Bergwijn S. 🟥,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Baas J. (Pen),
  • 44', Brobbey B. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 2, Lamprou L. , Goudmijn K. (A),
  • 67', Horemans S. 🟨,
  • 68', Tahirovic B. 🟨,
  • 68', Tahirovic B. , Gaaei A. ,
  • 73', Lamprou L. , Naujoks N. ,
  • 73', Sanches Fernandes D. , Uddenas O. ,
  • 73', Benita M. 🟨,
  • 77', Gaaei A. 🟨,
  • 80', Godts M. , Rijkhoff J. ,
  • 80', Mannsverk S. , van den Boomen B. ,
  • 81', Kaplan A. , Sosa B. ,
  • 84', Goudmijn K. , Widell C. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Akpom Ch. ,
  • 89', Duijvestijn L. , Omorowa R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ajax
74.3%
Draw
15.1%
Excelsior
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.2% 17.9% 10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6% 17.1% 10.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Ajax - Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.33)
    6.33
    (5.26)
    9.07
    (8.63)
    5.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Ajax - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Excelsior will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 62.1%93.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 4.
    • Recent matches Ajax is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Excelsior is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Ajax is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Aertssen O. (Knee Injury) Ramaj D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Driouech C. (Injury) Parrott T. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Pierie K. (Foot Injury) Seymor S. (Injury) Smeulers I. (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Ajax won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 46-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Excelsior were as follows:
    19.08.2023 Excelsior - Ajax 2:2
    29.01.2023 Excelsior - Ajax 1:4
    16.10.2022 Ajax - Excelsior 7:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    14.04.2024 Ajax - Twente 2:1
    07.04.2024 Feyenoord - Ajax 6:0
    04.04.2024 Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles 1:1
    31.03.2024 Zwolle - Ajax 1:3
    17.03.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 2:2
    Latest results of Excelsior
    12.04.2024 Excelsior - Volendam 4:0
    06.04.2024 Zwolle - Excelsior 2:1
    02.04.2024 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 0:2
    16.03.2024 Excelsior - Waalwijk 1:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

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