Result
2:2
24/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 31
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Malaysia | Astro |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub, Sport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 574 | 429 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 500 | 348 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 135 | 97 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 67 | 39 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Rensch D. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
- 36', Bergwijn S. 🟥,
- 38', 1 - 1, Baas J. (Pen),
- 44', Brobbey B. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 2, Lamprou L. ⚽, Goudmijn K. (A),
- 67', Horemans S. 🟨,
- 68', Tahirovic B. 🟨,
- 68', Tahirovic B. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
- 73', Lamprou L. ↓, Naujoks N. ↑,
- 73', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Uddenas O. ↑,
- 73', Benita M. 🟨,
- 77', Gaaei A. 🟨,
- 80', Godts M. ↓, Rijkhoff J. ↑,
- 80', Mannsverk S. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
- 81', Kaplan A. ↓, Sosa B. ↑,
- 84', Goudmijn K. ↓, Widell C. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Akpom Ch. ⚽,
- 89', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Omorowa R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
74.3% | Draw
15.1% | Excelsior
10.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Ajax - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.33) |
6.33 ↑
(5.26) |
9.07 ↑
(8.63) |
5.2%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Excelsior will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 62.1% – 93.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 4.
- Recent matches Ajax is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Excelsior is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Ajax is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Ajax: Aertssen O.
(Knee Injury)
Ramaj D.
(Elbow Injury)
- There will not play in Excelsior: Driouech C.
(Injury)
Parrott T.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Avila G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
Pierie K.
(Foot Injury)
Seymor S.
(Injury)
Smeulers I.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Ajax won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 46-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Excelsior?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Ajax?
Excelsior has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Excelsior were as follows:
19.08.2023
Excelsior
-
Ajax
2:2
29.01.2023
Excelsior
-
Ajax
1:4
16.10.2022
Ajax
-
Excelsior
7:1
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Groningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
