Result
22/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ajax
70.9% | Draw
17% | Excelsior
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ajax - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.35) |
5.7 ↑
(5.44) |
7.81 ↑
(7.36) |
5.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - Excelsior?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Ajax is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 48:16. (average 3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Excelsior?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Ajax?
Excelsior has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Excelsior were as follows:
24.04.2024
Ajax
-
Excelsior
2:2
19.08.2023
Excelsior
-
Ajax
2:2
29.01.2023
Excelsior
-
Ajax
1:4
16.10.2022
Ajax
-
Excelsior
7:1
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 40:17 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 28 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:18 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Ajax | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Utrecht | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Groningen | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Nijmegen | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Twente | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Sittard | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 16 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
