Ajax vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 13
  • Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.43
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
88% (551/625)79% (282/359)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.991.26
Total shots
158
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
134
Passes
88% (551/625)79% (282/359)
Long passes
68% (34/50)56% (44/78)
Passes in final third
77% (133/173)63% (48/76)
Crosses
18% (7/39)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.850.40
Throw-ins
2611
Fouls
413
Tackles
59% (13/22)75% (15/20)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
1440
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.260.99
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Weghorst W. 🟨,
  • 24', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Naujoks N. , Meissen R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 2, Naujoks N. ,
  • 52', Hartjes L. , Carlen A. ,
  • 57', Sutalo J. 🟨,
  • 57', Gaaei A. , Dolberg K. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Dolberg K. , Godts M. (A),
  • 66', Bergraaf J. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 66', Sanches Fernandes D. , Mitrovic S. ,
  • 76', Alders G. , Wijndal O. ,
  • 76', Edvardsen O. , Moro R. ,
  • 84', Martens N. , Janssen S. ,
  • 84', Widell C. , Schouten L. ,
  • 84', Sutalo J. , Klaassen D. ,

Chances of winning


Ajax
71.3%
Draw
16.6%
Excelsior
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 17.3% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9% 16.6% 12.3%

Ajax - Excelsior Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.35)
5.7
(5.44)
7.97
(7.36)
5.1%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 40.8%77.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Excelsior (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, Ajax is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Booth Z. (Injury) Janssen S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Bronkhorst I. (Injury) Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 48:16. (average 3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Excelsior were as follows:
    24.04.2024 Ajax - Excelsior 2:2
    19.08.2023 Excelsior - Ajax 2:2
    29.01.2023 Excelsior - Ajax 1:4
    16.10.2022 Ajax - Excelsior 7:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1
    26.10.2025 Twente - Ajax 2:3
    22.10.2025 Chelsea - Ajax 5:1
    Latest results of Excelsior
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV15131146:172940
    2Feyenoord15111341:182334
    3Nijmegen1583439:251427
    4Ajax1575328:20826
    5AZ Alkmaar1574428:24425
    6Groningen1572621:21023
    7Utrecht1564526:20622
    8Twente1556423:20321
    9Sparta Rotterdam1562717:28-1120
    10G.A. Eagles1546525:26-118
    11Sittard1553721:25-418
    12Heerenveen1545623:26-317
    13Excelsior1551914:26-1216
    14Zwolle1544719:36-1716
    15FC Volendam1535719:27-814
    16Heracles1542923:37-1414
    17NAC Breda1533915:24-912
    18Telstar1525817:25-811

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie