Result
2:1
30/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8
- Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Premier League |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | 10 Play, Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5 |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 7 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Sporza, Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport PSL |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 6 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 2.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 41 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/375) | 87% (493/565) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (55/88) | 80% (154/193) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/15) | 20% (8/40) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 91% (10/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 42 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Godts M. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 23', 1 - 0, Traore B. ⚽, Akpom Ch. (A),
- 38', Osimhen V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Torreira L. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Fitz-Jim K. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
- 61', Akgun Y. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
- 61', Kutlu B. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
- 69', Mertens D. ↓, Demir Y. ↑,
- 72', Traore B. 🟨,
- 73', Traore B. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
- 73', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
- 77', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 77', Henderson J. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
- 79', Sanchez D. 🟨,
- 90', Sanchez D. ↓, Nelsson V. ↑,
- 90', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Akman E. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ajax
39.5% | Draw
24.7% | Galatasaray
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ajax - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.84) |
3.9 ↑
(3.83) |
2.68 ↑
(2.3) |
4%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - Galatasaray?
Users Predictions:
66 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 34 - 51.5%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 11 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 39.4% – 63.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Ajax is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Galatasaray is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Ajax have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Ajax: Klaassen D.
(Injury)
Regeer Y.
(Injury)
Tahirovic B.
(Concussion)
Wijndal O.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Ankle Injury)
van den Boomen B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Aydin E.
(Inactive)
Demirbay K.
(Groin Injury)
Gurpuz G.
(Inactive)
Icardi M.
(Knee Injury)
Kutucu A.
(Inactive)
Sallai R.
(Inactive)
Zaha W.
(Inactive)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Galatasaray?
Ajax has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Ajax?
Galatasaray has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Galatasaray were as follows:
Latest results of Galatasaray
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 3 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 5 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 9 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 10 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 12 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 14 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Braga | |
| 19 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 21 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 22 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 2 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 5 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ostrava | Legia | 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals
