Ajax vs Galatasaray – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Ajax - Galatasaray
Result
0:3
05/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 6
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 9
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamOn Golf, ON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.902.55
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
89% (416/469)89% (447/500)
Yellow Cards
50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.902.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.093.87
Total shots
814
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1322
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
89% (416/469)89% (447/500)
Long passes
45% (17/38)60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
77% (66/86)67% (66/99)
Crosses
23% (3/13)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.25
Throw-ins
109
Fouls
1215
Tackles
53% (8/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4842
Clearances
2011
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
3.870.09
Goals prevented
0.870.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Mokio J. 🟨,
  • 38', Gaaei A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Wijndal O. , Alders G. ,
  • 46', Gabriel Sara , Yilmaz B. A. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. , Sane L. (A),
  • 61', Heitinga J. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Osimhen V. (Pen),
  • 70', Regeer Y. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 70', Godts M. , Bounida R. ,
  • 75', Klaassen D. 🟨,
  • 78', 0 - 3, Osimhen V. (Pen),
  • 79', Mokio J. , McConnell J. ,
  • 81', Osimhen V. , Icardi M. ,
  • 85', McConnell J. 🟨,
  • 86', Jakobs I. , Elmali E. ,
  • 86', Lemina M. , Ayhan K. ,
  • 89', Torreira L. , Kutlu B. ,

Chances of winning


Ajax
28.4%
Draw
25.1%
Galatasaray
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 23.7% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 23.4% 46.8%

Ajax - Galatasaray Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.41
(3.16)
3.85
(4.01)
2.07
(2.06)
3.7%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ajax - Galatasaray?
  • Users Predictions: 103 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 22 - 21.4%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 64 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 16.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 52.7%71.5%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Galatasaray (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ajax has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Galatasaray is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of home games.
    • Galatasaray will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) Taylor K. (Red Card) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Groin Injury) Gundogan I. (Calf Injury) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Karatas K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Galatasaray were as follows:
    30.01.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 2:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1
    26.10.2025 Twente - Ajax 2:3
    22.10.2025 Chelsea - Ajax 5:1
    18.10.2025 Ajax - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    04.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 3:3
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440014:31112
    2Arsenal440011:01112
    3Inter440011:11012
    4Manchester City431010:3710
    5PSG430114:599
    6Newcastle430110:289
    7Real Madrid43018:269
    8Liverpool43019:459
    9Galatasaray43018:629
    10Tottenham42207:258
    11Barcelona421112:757
    12Chelsea42119:637
    13Sporting CP42118:537
    14Dortmund421113:1127
    15Qarabag42118:717
    16Atalanta42113:5-27
    17Atl. Madrid420210:916
    18PSV41219:725
    19Monaco41214:6-25
    20Pafos41212:5-35
    21Bayer Leverkusen41216:10-45
    22Club Brugge KV41128:10-24
    23Eintracht Frankfurt41127:11-44
    24Napoli41124:9-54
    25Marseille41036:513
    26Juventus40317:8-13
    27Ath Bilbao41034:9-53
    28Royale Union SG41034:12-83
    29Bodo/Glimt40225:8-32
    30Slavia Prague40222:8-62
    31Olympiacos Piraeus40222:9-72
    32Villarreal40132:6-41
    33FC Copenhagen40134:12-81
    34Kairat Almaty40132:11-91
    35Benfica40042:8-60
    36Ajax40041:14-130

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