Ajax vs Galatasaray – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Ajax - Galatasaray
Result
2:1
30/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustralia10 Play, Stan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 6
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.442.71
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
1228
Shots on Goal
69
Shots off Goal
512
Blocked Shots
17
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
210
Shots inside the Box
819
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
84
Free Kicks
816
Offsides
23
Fouls
168
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1315
Touches in the Opposition Box
2041
Passes
81% (305/375)87% (493/565)
Passes in the final third
63% (55/88)80% (154/193)
Crosses
0% (0/15)20% (8/40)
Tackles
31% (5/16)91% (10/11)
Clearances Total
4217
Interceptions
163

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Godts M. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Traore B. ⚽, Akpom Ch. (A),
  • 38', Osimhen V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Torreira L. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Fitz-Jim K. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
  • 61', Akgun Y. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
  • 61', Kutlu B. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
  • 69', Mertens D. ↓, Demir Y. ↑,
  • 72', Traore B. 🟨,
  • 73', Traore B. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
  • 73', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
  • 77', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 77', Henderson J. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
  • 79', Sanchez D. 🟨,
  • 90', Sanchez D. ↓, Nelsson V. ↑,
  • 90', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Akman E. ↑,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Ajax
39.5%		Draw
24.7%		Galatasaray
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 24.9% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 25% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.
  • Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Ajax - Galatasaray Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.44 ↓
    (2.84)    		 3.9 ↑
    (3.83)    		 2.68 ↑
    (2.3)    		 4%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Ajax - Galatasaray?
  • Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 34 - 51.5%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 11 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 31.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 39.4% – 63.6%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Ajax is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Galatasaray is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Ajax have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Klaassen D. (Injury) Regeer Y. (Injury) Tahirovic B. (Concussion) Wijndal O. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Ankle Injury) van den Boomen B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Aydin E. (Inactive) Demirbay K. (Groin Injury) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Icardi M. (Knee Injury) Kutucu A. (Inactive) Sallai R. (Inactive) Zaha W. (Inactive)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    Latest results of Ajax
    23.01.2025 RFS - Ajax 1:0 ✺
    19.01.2025 Heerenveen - Ajax 0:2 ✺
    14.01.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Ajax 2:0 ✺
    11.01.2025 Ajax - Waalwijk 2:1 ✺
    05.01.2025 Stuttgart - Ajax 2:2
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    25.01.2025 Galatasaray - Konyaspor 1:0 ✺
    21.01.2025 Galatasaray - Dynamo Kyiv 3:3 ✺
    17.01.2025 Hatayspor - Galatasaray 1:1 ✺
    12.01.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray 1:2 ✺
    08.01.2025 Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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