Result
2:1
30/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8
- Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Premier League |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Australia | 10 Play, Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5 |
Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 7 |
Germany | RTL+ |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
Hungary | RTL+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Italy | NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Netherlands | Sporza, Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 4 |
Portugal | DAZN 4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport PSL |
South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 6 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, VIX App |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.44 | 2.71 |
Ball Possession |
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39% | 61% |
Goal Attempts |
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12 | 28 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 9 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 12 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 7 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 10 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 19 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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8 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 16 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Fouls |
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16 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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13 | 15 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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20 | 41 |
Passes |
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81% (305/375) | 87% (493/565) |
Passes in the final third |
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63% (55/88) | 80% (154/193) |
Crosses |
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0% (0/15) | 20% (8/40) |
Tackles |
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31% (5/16) | 91% (10/11) |
Clearances Total |
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42 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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16 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Godts M. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 23', 1 - 0, Traore B. ⚽, Akpom Ch. (A),
- 38', Osimhen V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Torreira L. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Fitz-Jim K. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
- 61', Akgun Y. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
- 61', Kutlu B. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
- 69', Mertens D. ↓, Demir Y. ↑,
- 72', Traore B. 🟨,
- 73', Traore B. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
- 73', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
- 77', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 77', Henderson J. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
- 79', Sanchez D. 🟨,
- 90', Sanchez D. ↓, Nelsson V. ↑,
- 90', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Akman E. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ajax 39.5% | Draw 24.7% | Galatasaray 35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ajax - Galatasaray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↓ (2.84) |
3.9 ↑ (3.83) |
2.68 ↑ (2.3) |
4% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - Galatasaray?
Users Predictions:
66 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 34 - 51.5%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 11 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 39.4% – 63.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Ajax is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Galatasaray is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Ajax have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Ajax: Klaassen D.
(Injury)
Regeer Y.
(Injury)
Tahirovic B.
(Concussion)
Wijndal O.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Ankle Injury)
van den Boomen B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Galatasaray: Aydin E.
(Inactive)
Demirbay K.
(Groin Injury)
Gurpuz G.
(Inactive)
Icardi M.
(Knee Injury)
Kutucu A.
(Inactive)
Sallai R.
(Inactive)
Zaha W.
(Inactive)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Galatasaray?
Ajax has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galatasaray won against Ajax?
Galatasaray has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Galatasaray were as follows:
Latest results of Galatasaray
Draw
2025/261/8-finals1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
3 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
4 | Bye | Hibernian | |
5 | PAOK | Bye | |
8 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
9 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
10 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
11 | Ostrava | Bye | |
12 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
13 | Lugano | Bye | |
14 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
15 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
16 | Bye | Braga | |
19 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
20 | Bye | Utrecht | |
21 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
22 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
27 | Besiktas | Bye | |
28 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
Quarter-finals1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
2 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 1 : 1 |
3 | PAOK | Bye | |
4 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
5 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 1 |
6 | Ostrava | Legia | 2 : 2 |
7 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 0 |
8 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 0 |
10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 3 |
11 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 0 |
14 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals