Ajax vs Galatasaray – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
05/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 6
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 9
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamOn Golf, ON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.902.55
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
89% (416/469)89% (447/500)
Yellow Cards
50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.902.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.093.87
Total shots
814
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1322
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
89% (416/469)89% (447/500)
Long passes
45% (17/38)60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
77% (66/86)67% (66/99)
Crosses
23% (3/13)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.25
Throw-ins
109
Fouls
1215
Tackles
53% (8/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4842
Clearances
2011
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
3.870.09
Goals prevented
0.870.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Mokio J. 🟨,
  • 38', Gaaei A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Wijndal O. , Alders G. ,
  • 46', Gabriel Sara , Yilmaz B. A. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. , Sane L. (A),
  • 61', Heitinga J. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Osimhen V. (Pen),
  • 70', Regeer Y. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 70', Godts M. , Bounida R. ,
  • 75', Klaassen D. 🟨,
  • 78', 0 - 3, Osimhen V. (Pen),
  • 79', Mokio J. , McConnell J. ,
  • 81', Osimhen V. , Icardi M. ,
  • 85', McConnell J. 🟨,
  • 86', Jakobs I. , Elmali E. ,
  • 86', Lemina M. , Ayhan K. ,
  • 89', Torreira L. , Kutlu B. ,

Chances of winning


Ajax
28.4%
Draw
25.1%
Galatasaray
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 23.7% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 23.4% 46.8%

Ajax - Galatasaray Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.41
(3.16)
3.85
(4.01)
2.07
(2.06)
3.7%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ajax - Galatasaray?
  • Users Predictions: 103 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 22 - 21.4%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 64 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 16.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 52.7%71.5%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Galatasaray (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Galatasaray (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Galatasaray (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 36 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 8.3%). Galatasaray (votes: 24 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 9 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ajax has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Galatasaray is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of home games.
    • Galatasaray will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) Taylor K. (Red Card) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Groin Injury) Gundogan I. (Calf Injury) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Karatas K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Galatasaray were as follows:
    30.01.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 2:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1
    26.10.2025 Twente - Ajax 2:3
    22.10.2025 Chelsea - Ajax 5:1
    18.10.2025 Ajax - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    04.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 3:3
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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