Result
2:0
02/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 14
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (437/514) | 86% (462/538) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (437/514) | 86% (462/538) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (31/63) | 47% (24/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (85/110) | 69% (95/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Bounida R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
- 28', 1 - 0, Godts M. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Bouwman A. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
- 64', Bouwman A. 🟨,
- 70', Wijndal O. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
- 70', Taha Y. ↓, van der Werff D. ↑,
- 70', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
- 79', Gloukh O. ↓, Steur S. ↑,
- 80', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
- 81', Schreuders J. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
- 81', van Bergen T. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
- 86', Weghorst W. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
- 86', Godts M. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
50.2% | Draw
25.5% | Groningen
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ajax - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.45) |
3.75 ↓
(4.64) |
4.01 ↓
(6.45) |
4.4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 29 - 63%). Groningen will win (votes: 13 - 28.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 49% – 77%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 60%). Groningen (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
- Ajax has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Groningen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ajax is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:4. (average 2.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Groningen?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Ajax?
Groningen has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Groningen were as follows:
14.05.2025
Groningen
-
Ajax
2:2
06.10.2024
Ajax
-
Groningen
3:1
16.05.2023
Groningen
-
Ajax
2:3
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 43 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Ajax | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 41:27 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Groningen | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Twente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:26 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:31 | -14 | 20 |
| 11 | Zwolle | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20:36 | -16 | 19 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Sittard | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Telstar | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
