Ajax vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 14
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
indonesiaIndonesiaKompas TV, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.74
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
85% (437/514)86% (462/538)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.130.79
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2719
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
85% (437/514)86% (462/538)
Long passes
49% (31/63)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
77% (85/110)69% (95/137)
Crosses
33% (2/6)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.19
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
1410
Tackles
50% (5/10)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
215
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
0.792.13
Goals prevented
0.790.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Bounida R. , Gloukh O. ,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Godts M. , Taylor K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', de Jonge T. , Land T. ,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Bouwman A. , Gloukh O. (A),
  • 64', Bouwman A. 🟨,
  • 70', Wijndal O. , Rosa L. ,
  • 70', Taha Y. , van der Werff D. ,
  • 70', Rente M. , Mercera T. ,
  • 79', Gloukh O. , Steur S. ,
  • 80', Klaassen D. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 81', Schreuders J. , Eggens N. ,
  • 81', van Bergen T. , Seuntjens M. ,
  • 86', Weghorst W. , Dolberg K. ,
  • 86', Godts M. , Nash P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ajax
50.2%
Draw
25.5%
Groningen
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 20.3% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 19.8% 14.3%

Ajax - Groningen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.9
(1.45)
3.75
(4.64)
4.01
(6.45)
4.4%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Groningen?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 29 - 63%). Groningen will win (votes: 13 - 28.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 49%77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 5 - 50%). Groningen (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Ajax (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Groningen (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
    • Ajax has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Groningen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ajax is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:4. (average 2.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Groningen were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Groningen - Ajax 2:2
    06.10.2024 Ajax - Groningen 3:1
    16.05.2023 Groningen - Ajax 2:3
    Latest results of Ajax
    25.11.2025 Ajax - Benfica 0:2
    22.11.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 1:2
    09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1
    Latest results of Groningen
    23.11.2025 Groningen - Zwolle 2:2
    09.11.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Groningen 2:0
    02.11.2025 Groningen - Twente 1:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV21182164:253956
    2Feyenoord21123651:321939
    3Nijmegen20115452:341838
    4Ajax21108341:281338
    5Sparta Rotterdam21112827:34-735
    6AZ Alkmaar2195736:35132
    7Twente21710431:24731
    8Groningen2194828:26231
    9Zwolle2175930:43-1326
    10Heerenveen2067732:31125
    11Sittard21741031:36-525
    12Utrecht2066830:27324
    13Excelsior21651022:37-1523
    14G.A. Eagles20410631:34-322
    15FC Volendam21461122:36-1418
    16Heracles21521430:53-2317
    17NAC Breda21371123:34-1116
    18Telstar21371125:37-1216

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie