Result
30/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ajax
56.8% | Draw
22.8% | Groningen
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ajax - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.45) |
4.19 ↓
(4.64) |
4.81 ↓
(6.45) |
4.3%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Groningen will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Groningen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
- Ajax is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Groningen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ajax is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:4. (average 2.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Groningen?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Ajax?
Groningen has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Groningen were as follows:
14.05.2025
Groningen
-
Ajax
2:2
06.10.2024
Ajax
-
Groningen
3:1
16.05.2023
Groningen
-
Ajax
2:3
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41:17 | 24 | 34 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33:16 | 17 | 28 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:21 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 33:22 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Utrecht | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Ajax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23:19 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Groningen | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Sittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Twente | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:25 | -10 | 17 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:30 | -12 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 22:36 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 | Telstar | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
