Result
2:2
14/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 33
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (352/448) | 82% (430/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (352/448) | 82% (430/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (34/75) | 48% (35/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (65/112) | 64% (89/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.56 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Gaaei A. ⚽, Brobbey B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, van Bergen T. ⚽, Resink S. (A),
- 55', Bacuna L. 🟨,
- 56', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
- 56', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
- 64', Traore B. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
- 64', Mokio J. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Weghorst W. ⚽, Berghuis S. (A),
- 72', Henderson J. 🟨,
- 73', Kwakman D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 73', Prins W. ↓, Peersman M. ↑,
- 77', Godts M. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
- 80', Schreuders J. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
- 81', Ekdal H. 🟨,
- 83', Gaaei A. 🟨,
- 86', Bacuna L. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
- 90+3', Valente L. 🟥,
- 90+9', Vaessen E. 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Blokzijl T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Groningen
17.1% | Draw
23.2% | Ajax
59.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Groningen - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.57 ↓
(6.62) |
4.09 ↓
(4.66) |
1.6 ↑
(1.45) |
5%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Groningen - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 15 - 31.9%). Ajax will win (votes: 27 - 57.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 43.3% – 71.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 6 - 60%). Ajax (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ajax is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M.
(Knock)
Turay F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y.
(Groin Injury)
Edvardsen O.
(Knee Injury)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Groningen: Peersman M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:44. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Ajax?
Groningen has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Groningen?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Ajax were as follows:
06.10.2024
Ajax
-
Groningen
3:1
16.05.2023
Groningen
-
Ajax
2:3
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Utrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Sittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
