Ajax vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:2
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaVoyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ Action, Canal+
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, TNT Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 2
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.22
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
87% (452/518)81% (328/403)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.88
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1531
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
87% (452/518)81% (328/403)
Long passes
57% (25/44)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
74% (73/99)69% (74/108)
Crosses
17% (4/23)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.10
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
1517
Tackles
73% (11/15)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4453
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.880.77
Goals prevented
-0.120.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Thuram M. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Thuram M. ⚽, Calhanoglu H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Thuram M. ⚽, Calhanoglu H. (A),
  • 63', Taylor K. ↓, McConnell J. ↑,
  • 63', Weghorst W. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
  • 67', Mkhitaryan H. 🟨,
  • 69', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
  • 73', Baas Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Godts M. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
  • 76', Regeer Y. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
  • 80', Barella N. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
  • 80', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
  • 84', Itakura K. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
  • 87', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
  • 87', Thuram M. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Ajax
21.4%		Draw
24.4%		Inter Milan
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 25.2% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 25.6% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Ajax - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.37 ↑
    (3.63)    		 3.96 ↑
    (3.75)    		 1.82 ↓
    (1.94)    		 3.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Ajax - Inter Milan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Inter (1.83) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Ajax (2.25) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Inter (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Ajax (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (91 of 109 users predict this - 83.49%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.52% – 90.46%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Milan will win (46 of 56 users predict this - 82.14%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 63 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 7 - 11.1%). Inter (votes: 51 - 81%). Tie (votes: 5 - 7.9%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Ajax is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Inter has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Inter is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Health problems) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter: Darmian M. (Back Injury) Palacios T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Bouwman A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter: Martinez L. (Back Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ajax
    13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1 ✺
    30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax 2:2 ✺
    10.08.2025 Ajax - Telstar 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    13.09.2025 Juventus - Inter Milan 4:3 ✺
    31.08.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 1:2 ✺
    25.08.2025 Inter Milan - Torino 5:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Inter Milan - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:0 ✺
    12.08.2025 Monza - Inter Milan 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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