AP Brera Strumica vs Shkupi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football North Macedonian 1 MFL AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi
Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 5

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


AP Brera Strumica
52.5%
Draw
25.5%
Shkupi
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.4% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27.6% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AP Brera Strumica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AP Brera Strumica's performance.
  • Shkupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shkupi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AP Brera Strumica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shkupi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.12)
    3.61
    (3.2)
    4.19
    (3.17)
    8.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi?
  • Users Predictions: AP Brera Strumica will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AP Brera Strumica will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 1.
    • Recent form of Brera Strumica has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Shkupi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shkupi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Brera Strumica has had a series of away games.
    • Brera Strumica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brera Strumica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi were as follows:
    07.05.2025 AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi 4:3
    23.02.2025 AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi 1:2
    05.10.2024 Shkupi - AP Brera Strumica 3:1
    12.05.2024 Shkupi - AP Brera Strumica 0:0
    10.12.2023 AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi 0:1
    Latest results of AP Brera Strumica
    Latest results of Shkupi
    10.09.2025 Kožuf Gevgelija - Shkupi 0:2
    29.08.2025 Shkupi - Vardar 2:4
    25.08.2025 Pelister - Shkupi 2:0
    17.08.2025 Shkupi - Sileks Sileks awarded
    08.08.2025 Shkendija Tetovo - Shkupi 5:1
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Struga871020:31722
    2Vardar862020:81220
    3Shkendija862015:41120
    4Sileks850317:8915
    5Bashkimi842211:11014
    6Brera Strumica832310:15-511
    7Makedonija GP83058:12-49
    8Arsimi822412:1208
    9Tikves82245:10-58
    10Pelister82067:18-116
    11Rabotnicki81168:15-74
    12Shkupi80085:22-170

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL