Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | Q League Asia, Q Sport Asia |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (237/325) | 79% (329/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (237/325) | 79% (329/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (33/72) | 32% (17/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/103) | 54% (58/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 53% (8/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.47 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Bokoev M. 🟨,
- 18', Bakaev S. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Pestryakov D. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
- 42', Rozhkov I. 🟨,
- 43', Loncar S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 2 - 0, Bistrovic K. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
- 53', Hodza V. ↓, Shabanhaxhaj D. ↑,
- 53', Jukic A. ↓, Shvets A. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Daku M. ⚽, Iwu U. (A),
- 59', Loncar S. ↓, Escoval R. ↑,
- 67', Iwu U. 🟨,
- 83', Bakaev S. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
- 85', Kabutov D. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Siwe J. ⚽,
- 90', Shvets A. ↓, Lobov N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti 34.3% | Draw 27.6% | Rubin Kazan 38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Akron Tolyatti - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.81 ↓ (2.94) |
3.49 ↑ (3.4) |
2.52 ↑ (2.28) |
4% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 0.
- Akron has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rubin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Akron: Benchimol
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rubin: Maldonado D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Akron: Djakovac I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rubin: Vujacic I.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Akron won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Rubin Kazan?
Akron Tolyatti has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Akron Tolyatti?
Rubin Kazan has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
22.11.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Akron Tolyatti
3:0
23.10.2024
Akron Tolyatti
-
Rubin Kazan
0:1
19.08.2024
Akron Tolyatti
-
Rubin Kazan
1:2
30.07.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Akron Tolyatti
4:0
13.05.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Akron Tolyatti
3:2
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 29:16 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:7 | 17 | 26 |
| 4 | Zenit | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Baltika | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL