Result
1:2
30/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Kiki G. 🟨,
- 33', Kasym A. ↓, Baydavletov A. ↑,
- 44', Kairov B. 🟨,
- 44', Glazer D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Gromyko V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 0, Baydavletov A. ⚽, Omirtaev O. (A),
- 51', Baydavletov A. 🟨,
- 51', Usenov D. ↓, Berdibek D. ↑,
- 71', Gromyko V. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 1, Martynovich A. ⚽, Mata L. (A),
- 77', Jean J. ↓, Umaev I. ↑,
- 78', Omirtaev O. ↓, Ivkovic D. ↑,
- 78', Skvortsov L. ↓, Agbo U. ↑,
- 79', Jorginho 🟨,
- 85', Ivkovic D. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 2, Satpaev D. ⚽, Arad O. (A),
- 90', Arad O. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
- 90', Satpaev D. ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
- 90+4', Stanojev J. ↓, Tapalov E. ↑,
- 90+7', Kasabulat D. 🟨,
- 90+8', Umaev I. 🟨,
- 90+8', Andjelkovic N. 🟨,
- 90+8', Umaev I. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Aktobe
27.2% | Draw
28.6% | Kairat
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aktobe's form might have worsened.Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kairat's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+22%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aktobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-18.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kairat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aktobe - Kairat Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2) |
3.23 ↑
(3.1) |
2.09 ↓
(2.8) |
8.1%
(18%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aktobe - Kairat?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Kairat will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kairat: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aktobe will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 3.
- Aktobe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Kairat will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 26:49. (average 1.3:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Kairat?
Aktobe has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Aktobe?
Kairat has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Kairat were as follows:
22.02.2025
Kairat
-
Aktobe
2:0
04.10.2024
Aktobe
-
Kairat
2:1
20.04.2024
Kairat
-
Aktobe
1:3
06.08.2023
Aktobe
-
Kairat
4:2
14.05.2023
Kairat
-
Aktobe
2:1
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:14 | 25 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Tobol | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 32:16 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:25 | 1 | 29 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 24 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18:30 | -12 | 17 |
| 11 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14:28 | -14 | 16 |
| 12 | Ulytau | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10:25 | -15 | 13 |
| 13 | Turan | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13:37 | -24 | 11 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10:37 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
