Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Anarbekov T. ↓, Kalmyrza S. ↑,
- 45', Tanzharikov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Doumbouya A. ↓, Sosah D. ↑,
- 46', Andjelkovic N. ↓, Kusyapov T. ↑,
- 46', Seydakhmet E. ↓, Baydavletov A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Satpaev D. ⚽, Tapalov E. (A),
- 60', Kusyapov T. 🟨,
- 72', Zhukov G. ↓, Shvyrev V. ↑,
- 81', Mrynskiy A. ↓, Stanojev J. ↑,
- 81', Satpaev D. ↓, Edmilson Santos ↑,
- 89', Kasabulat D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tanzharikov A. ↓, Umaev I. ↑,
- 90+2', Arad O. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
- 90+4', Gromyko V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kairat
54.6% | Draw
28.2% | Aktobe
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aktobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-16.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aktobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kairat - Aktobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(2.51) |
3.3 ↑
(2.76) |
5.38 ↑
(3.31) |
7.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kairat - Aktobe?
Users Predictions:
Kairat will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kairat will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 2.
- Kairat is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aktobe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kairat is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:26. (average 2.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:11. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Aktobe?
Kairat has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Kairat?
Aktobe has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Aktobe were as follows:
30.05.2025
Aktobe
-
Kairat
1:2
22.02.2025
Kairat
-
Aktobe
2:0
04.10.2024
Aktobe
-
Kairat
2:1
20.04.2024
Kairat
-
Aktobe
1:3
06.08.2023
Aktobe
-
Kairat
4:2
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52:18 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 56 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 43:23 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:26 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19:42 | -23 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 22:54 | -32 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
