Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Mukhammed A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Umaev I. ↓, Shushenachev A. ↑,
- 48', Korzun N. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 1, Kasym A. (Own goal),
- 57', Usenov D. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
- 58', Shvyrev V. ↓, Omirtaev O. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Shushenachev A. ⚽,
- 61', Marat D. 🟨,
- 64', Jean J. 🟨,
- 67', Mukhammed A. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
- 74', Muzhikov S. ↓, Cuckic N. ↑,
- 75', Idrisov N. 🟨,
- 78', Sosah D. ↓, Doumbouya A. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Shushenachev A. ⚽,
- 89', Zhumat D. ↓, Prokopenko V. ↑,
- 89', Adakhadziev A. ↓, Shamshi B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aktobe
63.3% | Draw
22.5% | Okzhetpes
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe's performance.Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Okzhetpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Aktobe - Okzhetpes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.77) |
4.12 ↑
(3.42) |
6.55 ↑
(4.83) |
7.8%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 2.
- Aktobe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Okzhetpes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aktobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aktobe is a strong favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 2.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Okzhetpes?
Aktobe has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Okzhetpes won against Aktobe?
Okzhetpes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Okzhetpes were as follows:
17.05.2025
Okzhetpes
-
Aktobe
1:3
22.10.2023
Okzhetpes
-
Aktobe
1:1
09.03.2023
Aktobe
-
Okzhetpes
5:1
Latest results of Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52:18 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 56 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 43:23 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:26 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19:42 | -23 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 22:54 | -32 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
