Al-Adalh vs Al-Diriyah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.321.92
Ball possession
33%67%
Total shots
623
Shots on target
28
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
27
Passes
71% (197/278)88% (471/536)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.321.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.402.11
Total shots
623
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
311
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
315
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
942
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free kicks
810
Passes
71% (197/278)88% (471/536)
Long passes
30% (22/74)67% (29/43)
Passes in final third
56% (35/63)80% (142/178)
Crosses
25% (1/4)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.89
Throw ins
1325
Fouls
108
Tackles
63% (10/16)75% (6/8)
Duels won
3735
Clearances
365
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
71
xGOT faced
2.110.40
Goals prevented
1.11-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Al Hamdhi K. N. 🟨,
  • 24', Subayt A. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Subayt A. , Laborde G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Al Ibrahim R. 🟨,
  • 70', Al Ibrahim R. , Al Majhad H. ,
  • 77', Al Salem R. , Al Marri M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Bouamer N. ,
  • 84', Al Qahtani Z. , Al Farhan S. ,
  • 85', Bouamer N. , Qarradi J. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Adalh
6.8%
Draw
13.5%
Al-Diriyah
79.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.7% 19.4% 67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3% 18.8% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Adalh's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Diriyah's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Adalh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Diriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Adalh - Al-Diriyah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    13.48
    (7.21)
    6.78
    (4.73)
    1.15
    (1.35)
    9.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
    • Al-Adalh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Diriyah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Al-Diriyah is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Adalh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Al-Adalh
    22.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Adalh 6:3
    16.01.2026 Al Jubail - Al-Adalh 2:2
    11.01.2026 Al-Adalh - Abha 1:2
    05.01.2026 Al-Anwar - Al-Adalh 4:1
    30.12.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Diriyah
    23.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Taee 2:0
    16.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Diriyah 0:1
    11.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Anwar 2:0
    05.01.2026 Abha - Al-Diriyah 2:1
    31.12.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al Jubail 5:2
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah26175462:273556
    3Al-Ula26157455:253052
    4Al Jabalain26147549:301949
    5Al Orubah26145741:33847
    6Al-Faisaly261210453:322146
    7Al Raed26118748:351341
    8Al Bukiryah261141129:36-737
    9Al Zulfi2698932:32035
    10Al Taee26881038:39-132
    11Al Wehda26951239:44-532
    12Al Anwar26710935:38-331
    13Jeddah26710928:36-831
    14Al Jandal26681222:45-2326
    15Al Adalah26381532:58-2617
    16Al Arabi26441812:44-3216
    17Al Batin26351827:53-2614
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

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