Al-Adalh vs Al-Diriyah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium (Al Ahsa).

Division 1 - Round 19
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.32	1.92
Ball possession
33%	67%
Total shots
6	23
Shots on target
2	8
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
2	7
Passes
71% (197/278)	88% (471/536)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.32	1.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	2.11
Total shots
6	23
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
3	11
Blocked shots
1	4
Shots inside the box
3	15
Shots outside the box
3	8
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
9	42
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	4
Free kicks
8	10
Passes
71% (197/278)	88% (471/536)
Long passes
30% (22/74)	67% (29/43)
Passes in final third
56% (35/63)	80% (142/178)
Crosses
25% (1/4)	30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	1.89
Throw ins
13	25
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
63% (10/16)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
37	35
Clearances
36	5
Interceptions
12	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
7	1
xGOT faced
2.11	0.40
Goals prevented
1.11	-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Al Hamdhi K. N. 🟨,
24', Subayt A. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Subayt A. ⚽, Laborde G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Al Ibrahim R. 🟨,
70', Al Ibrahim R. ↓, Al Majhad H. ↑,
77', Al Salem R. ↓, Al Marri M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Bouamer N. ⚽,
84', Al Qahtani Z. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
85', Bouamer N. ↓, Qarradi J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al-Adalh
6.8%

Draw
13.5%

Al-Diriyah
79.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

19.4%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

18.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Adalh's form might have worsened.

Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Diriyah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Adalh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Diriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al-Adalh - Al-Diriyah Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.48 ↑ (7.21)	6.78 ↑ (4.73)	1.15 ↓ (1.35)	9.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
Al-Adalh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al-Diriyah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Al-Diriyah is the obvious favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Adalh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Adalh won against Al-Diriyah?

Al-Adalh has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Diriyah won against Al-Adalh?

Al-Diriyah has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Adalh - Al-Diriyah were as follows:

Latest results of Al-Adalh

22.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Adalh 6:3 ✺

16.01.2026 Al Jubail - Al-Adalh 2:2 ✺

11.01.2026 Al-Adalh - Abha 1:2 ✺

05.01.2026 Al-Anwar - Al-Adalh 4:1 ✺

30.12.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Diriyah

23.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Taee 2:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Diriyah 0:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Anwar 2:0 ✺

05.01.2026 Abha - Al-Diriyah 2:1 ✺

31.12.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al Jubail 5:2 ✺

Saudi Division 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Abha	24	19	4	1	52:19	33	61
2	Al Diriyah	24	16	4	4	56:24	32	52
3	Al Jabalain	24	14	6	4	47:26	21	48
4	Al-Ula	24	13	7	4	48:24	24	46
5	Al Orubah	24	13	5	6	39:30	9	44
6	Al-Faisaly	24	11	9	4	45:29	16	42
7	Al Raed	24	10	8	6	45:33	12	38
8	Al Bukiryah	24	10	4	10	27:34	-7	34
9	Al Taee	24	8	7	9	36:35	1	31
10	Al Zulfi	24	8	7	9	30:31	-1	31
11	Al Wehda	24	8	5	11	36:42	-6	29
12	Jeddah	24	6	10	8	27:32	-5	28
13	Al Anwar	24	6	9	9	33:37	-4	27
14	Al Jandal	24	5	7	12	19:43	-24	22
15	Al Adalah	24	3	8	13	31:51	-20	17
16	Al Arabi	24	4	4	16	12:42	-30	16
17	Al Batin	24	3	5	16	25:47	-22	14
18	Al Jubail	24	2	5	17	20:49	-29	11

      Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
      Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation