Al-Adalh vs Al-Diriyah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.321.92
Ball possession
33%67%
Total shots
623
Shots on target
28
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
27
Passes
71% (197/278)88% (471/536)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.321.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.402.11
Total shots
623
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
311
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
315
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
942
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free kicks
810
Passes
71% (197/278)88% (471/536)
Long passes
30% (22/74)67% (29/43)
Passes in final third
56% (35/63)80% (142/178)
Crosses
25% (1/4)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.89
Throw ins
1325
Fouls
108
Tackles
63% (10/16)75% (6/8)
Duels won
3735
Clearances
365
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
71
xGOT faced
2.110.40
Goals prevented
1.11-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Al Hamdhi K. N. 🟨,
  • 24', Subayt A. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Subayt A. , Laborde G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Al Ibrahim R. 🟨,
  • 70', Al Ibrahim R. , Al Majhad H. ,
  • 77', Al Salem R. , Al Marri M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Bouamer N. ,
  • 84', Al Qahtani Z. , Al Farhan S. ,
  • 85', Bouamer N. , Qarradi J. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Adalh
6.8%
Draw
13.5%
Al-Diriyah
79.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.7% 19.4% 67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3% 18.8% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Adalh's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Diriyah's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Adalh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Diriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Adalh - Al-Diriyah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    13.48
    (7.21)
    6.78
    (4.73)
    1.15
    (1.35)
    9.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
    • Al-Adalh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Diriyah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Al-Diriyah is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Adalh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Al-Adalh
    22.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Adalh 6:3
    16.01.2026 Al Jubail - Al-Adalh 2:2
    11.01.2026 Al-Adalh - Abha 1:2
    05.01.2026 Al-Anwar - Al-Adalh 4:1
    30.12.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Diriyah
    23.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Taee 2:0
    16.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Diriyah 0:1
    11.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Anwar 2:0
    05.01.2026 Abha - Al-Diriyah 2:1
    31.12.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al Jubail 5:2
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha28225159:223771
    2Al Diriyah28195468:284062
    3Al-Ula28167560:283255
    4Al-Faisaly281410456:332352
    5Al Orubah28155844:35950
    6Al Jabalain28147749:341549
    7Al Raed28129752:371545
    8Al Zulfi28109938:35339
    9Al Taee281081041:39238
    10Al Bukiryah281141330:40-1037
    11Al Anwar28811942:41135
    12Jeddah288101030:39-934
    13Al Wehda28961342:51-933
    14Al Jandal28781326:48-2229
    15Al Adalah28391634:63-2918
    16Al Arabi28442014:51-3716
    17Al Batin28361929:57-2815
    18Al Jubail28352024:57-3314

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
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          Relegation