Al Raed vs Al-Adalh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/01/2026 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah).

Division 1 - Round 18
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.02	1.55
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
8	5
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
3	2
Passes
88% (432/489)	84% (282/334)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.02	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
3.04	1.12
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
3	1
Shots inside the box
13	6
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
40	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
7	7
Passes
88% (432/489)	84% (282/334)
Long passes
64% (21/33)	64% (30/47)
Passes in final third
73% (96/132)	60% (40/67)
Crosses
33% (7/21)	45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.83	1.24
Throw ins
20	16
Fouls
7	7
Tackles
73% (11/15)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
34	34
Clearances
14	28
Interceptions
9	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.12	3.04
Goals prevented
-1.88	-1.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, Chivaviro R. ⚽, Bukia A. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Chivaviro R. ⚽, Al Jamman A. (A),
36', Shami A. 🟨,
42', Shami A. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,
44', 1 - 2, Gano Z. ⚽,
45+1', Bukia A. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 2, Gano Z. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
45+5', 2 - 3, Bukia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Al Dawsari M. ↓, Al Yousif A. ↑,
48', 3 - 3, Bouzok Y. ⚽, Al Dossary M. (A),
50', 4 - 3, Bouzok Y. ⚽, Al Dossary M. (A),
54', 5 - 3, Al Salouli S. ⚽, Al Shanqiti W. (A),
62', Al Ibrahim R. ↓, Al Majhad H. ↑,
66', Al Marri M. ↓, Qarradi J. ↑,
69', Narvaez J. 🟨,
81', Chivaviro R. ↓, Al Suwaij A. ↑,
82', Al Hamdhi K. N. ↓, Bouamer N. ↑,
86', 6 - 3, Gano Z. ⚽, Al Shanqiti W. (A),
86', Al Dossary M. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
86', Al Salouli S. ↓, Al Shuqayran T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al Raed
67.6%

Draw
19.6%

Al-Adalh
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

20.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Raed's performance.

Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Adalh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Raed that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Adalh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Raed - Al-Adalh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.53)	4.62 ↑ (4.11)	7.11 ↑ (5.1)	10.2% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al Raed - Al-Adalh?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Al Raed (1.53) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Al Raed will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Raed will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Raed (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
Recent form of Al Raed has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Al-Adalh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Al Raed is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Raed won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Raed won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Al Raed won against Al-Adalh?

Al Raed has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Adalh won against Al Raed?

Al-Adalh has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Raed - Al-Adalh were as follows:

12.09.2025 Al-Adalh - Al Raed 4:4

11.03.2023 Al-Adalh - Al Raed 0:3

01.10.2022 Al Raed - Al-Adalh 2:1

Latest results of Al Raed

17.01.2026 Abha - Al Raed 2:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Zulfi 1:2 ✺

07.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Ula 3:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al Raed 5:3 ✺

26.12.2025 Al Raed - Al-Diriyah 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Al-Adalh

16.01.2026 Al Jubail - Al-Adalh 2:2 ✺

11.01.2026 Al-Adalh - Abha 1:2 ✺

05.01.2026 Al-Anwar - Al-Adalh 4:1 ✺

30.12.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain 2:1 ✺

25.12.2025 Al Jandal - Al-Adalh 0:3 ✺

Saudi Division 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Abha	28	22	5	1	59:22	37	71
2	Al Diriyah	29	19	6	4	69:29	40	63
3	Al-Ula	29	17	7	5	62:29	33	58
4	Al-Faisaly	28	14	10	4	56:33	23	52
5	Al Jabalain	29	15	7	7	53:34	19	52
6	Al Orubah	28	15	5	8	44:35	9	50
7	Al Raed	28	12	9	7	52:37	15	45
8	Al Zulfi	29	10	10	9	39:36	3	40
9	Al Bukiryah	29	12	4	13	32:41	-9	40
10	Al Taee	28	10	8	10	41:39	2	38
11	Al Wehda	29	10	6	13	46:52	-6	36
12	Al Anwar	29	8	11	10	43:43	0	35
13	Jeddah	28	8	10	10	30:39	-9	34
14	Al Jandal	29	7	8	14	27:50	-23	29
15	Al Adalah	29	3	9	17	35:67	-32	18
16	Al Arabi	28	4	4	20	14:51	-37	16
17	Al Batin	28	3	6	19	29:57	-28	15
18	Al Jubail	29	3	5	21	24:61	-37	14

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