Result
4:2
17/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI, RCTI+ |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kyrgyzstan | KTRK Sports |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
 Philippines | Matchday+ |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Tving |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.01 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 48 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/442) | 76% (214/283) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (108/144) | 63% (49/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 11% (2/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 60% (9/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Joselu (Pen),
- 21', 1 - 1, Toney I. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 1, Firmino R. ⚽, Ibanez (A),
- 44', 3 - 1, Galeno ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', 4 - 1, Mahrez R. (Pen),
- 62', Demiral M. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 62', Galeno ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 62', Veiga G. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
- 64', Hamed J. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
- 64', Boli Y. ↓, Al Ganehi A. ↑,
- 74', Yaslam S. ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 2, Brahimi Y. (Pen),
- 84', Rodrigo ↓, Madibo A. O. ↑,
- 84', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
- 88', Toney I. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Jeddah
67.7% | Draw
18.8% | Al-Gharafa
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.43) |
4.96 ↑
(4.4) |
6.87 ↑
(6) |
7.5%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Ahli is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Al-Ahli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Al-Gharafa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Al-Ahli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Al-Ahli is absolute favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Al-Ahli to win the game is with odds 1.38.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ahli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Gharafa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Pakhtakor (8) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Gwangju FC (4) | Vissel Kobe (5) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al Rayyan (7) | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Johor DT (3) | Buriram (6) | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Shanghai Port (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Nassr (3) | Esteghlal F.C. (6) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Shanghai Shenhua (7) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd (4) | Al Wasl (5) | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Gwangju FC (4) | 7 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Buriram (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Al Nassr (3) | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Al-Sadd (4) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Al Nassr (3) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 0 |
