Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah).

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Suriname	SCCN
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.92	0.17
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
12	5
Shots on target
9	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
86% (372/434)	85% (390/460)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92	0.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.73	0.19
Total shots
12	5
Shots on target
9	1
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
25	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
17	16
Passes
86% (372/434)	85% (390/460)
Long passes
51% (23/45)	52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
71% (83/117)	71% (65/92)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	0.20
Throw-ins
18	9
Fouls
16	17
Tackles
73% (11/15)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
50	45
Clearances
13	18
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.19	3.73
Goals prevented
0.19	-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
30', Diaz F. ↓, Holgate M. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Millot E. ⚽, Matheus Goncalves (A),
38', 2 - 0, Kessie F. ⚽, Matheus Goncalves (A),
41', 3 - 0, Kessie F. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
44', Demiral M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
63', Al Oui A. 🟨,
65', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
67', Joselu ↓, Coman F. ↑,
71', Millot E. 🟨,
72', Millot E. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
72', Kessie F. ↓, Al Hawsawi Z. ↑,
72', Dams M. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Abu Al Shamat S. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
81', Demiral M. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
87', Fadlalla S. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Al-Ahli Jeddah
78.3%

Draw
13.6%

Al-Gharafa
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.4%

14.8%

9.8%

Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.22)	6.99 ↑ (6.22)	11.63 ↑ (9.41)	5.3% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 71.4% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -2 - Al-Gharafa (1.99) (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Gharafa?

Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?

Al-Gharafa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa were as follows:

17.02.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa 4:2

Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah

17.10.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1 ✺

29.09.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:2 ✺

26.09.2025 Al Hazem - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Pyramids 1:3 ✺

19.09.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Al-Gharafa

17.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 0:3 ✺

02.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor 0:1 ✺

29.09.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad 2:0 ✺

25.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:3 ✺

22.09.2025 Muaither - Al-Gharafa 5:2 ✺

AFC Champions League Table

League phase

East

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	4	3	0	1	8:4	4	9
2	Johor DT	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7
4	Ulsan HD	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
5	Gangwon	4	2	0	2	6:6	0	6
6	Buriram	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
7	Melbourne City	4	2	0	2	4:5	-1	6
8	Seoul	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
9	Machida	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
10	Shanghai Shenhua	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
11	Chengdu Rongcheng	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
12	Shanghai Port	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

West

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Hilal	4	4	0	0	10:5	5	12
2	Al Ahli SC	4	3	1	0	12:5	7	10
3	Al Wahda	4	3	1	0	7:3	4	10
4	Tractor	4	2	2	0	7:1	6	8
5	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
6	Al Ittihad	4	2	0	2	8:4	4	6
7	Al-Duhail	4	1	1	2	8:8	0	4
8	Al Sharjah	4	1	1	2	5:12	-7	4
9	Al-Gharafa	4	1	0	3	6:10	-4	3
10	Al-Sadd	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
11	Al Shorta	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1
12	Nasaf Qarshi	4	0	0	4	6:13	-7	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)