Result
4:0
20/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (372/434) | 85% (390/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.73 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (372/434) | 85% (390/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 52% (27/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (83/117) | 71% (65/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 3.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 30', Diaz F. ↓, Holgate M. ↑,
- 32', 1 - 0, Millot E. ⚽, Matheus Goncalves (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Kessie F. ⚽, Matheus Goncalves (A),
- 41', 3 - 0, Kessie F. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
- 44', Demiral M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
- 63', Al Oui A. 🟨,
- 65', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 67', Joselu ↓, Coman F. ↑,
- 71', Millot E. 🟨,
- 72', Millot E. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 72', Kessie F. ↓, Al Hawsawi Z. ↑,
- 72', Dams M. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 0, Abu Al Shamat S. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
- 81', Demiral M. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 87', Fadlalla S. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Jeddah
78.3% | Draw
13.6% | Al-Gharafa
8.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.22) |
6.99 ↑
(6.22) |
11.63 ↑
(9.41) |
5.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 71.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -2 - Al-Gharafa (1.99) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Al-Ahli (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 7 - 70%). Al-Gharafa (votes: 3 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Gharafa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
17.02.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Gharafa
4:2
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
