Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa
Result
4:0
20/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.17
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
86% (372/434)85% (390/460)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.730.19
Total shots
125
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
258
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1716
Passes
86% (372/434)85% (390/460)
Long passes
51% (23/45)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
71% (83/117)71% (65/92)
Crosses
30% (3/10)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.20
Throw-ins
189
Fouls
1617
Tackles
73% (11/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
1318
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.193.73
Goals prevented
0.19-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 30', Diaz F. , Holgate M. ,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Millot E. , Matheus Goncalves (A),
  • 38', 2 - 0, Kessie F. , Matheus Goncalves (A),
  • 41', 3 - 0, Kessie F. , Mahrez R. (A),
  • 44', Demiral M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gunnarsson A. , Muntari M. ,
  • 63', Al Oui A. 🟨,
  • 65', Mahrez R. , Abu Al Shamat S. ,
  • 67', Joselu , Coman F. ,
  • 71', Millot E. 🟨,
  • 72', Millot E. , Al Buraikan F. ,
  • 72', Kessie F. , Al Hawsawi Z. ,
  • 72', Dams M. , Al Johani Z. ,
  • 76', 4 - 0, Abu Al Shamat S. , Toney I. (A),
  • 81', Demiral M. , Sulaiman M. ,
  • 87', Fadlalla S. , Hamed J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Al-Ahli Jeddah
78.3%
Draw
13.6%
Al-Gharafa
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.4% 14.8% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.22)
    6.99
    (6.22)
    11.63
    (9.41)
    5.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2 - Al-Gharafa (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
    17.02.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa 4:2
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    17.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 0:3
    02.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor 0:1
    25.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:3
    22.09.2025 Muaither - Al-Gharafa 5:2
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ulsan HD32104:227
    2Vissel Kobe32017:436
    3Gangwon32016:516
    4Machida31203:125
    5Shanghai Shenhua31114:314
    6Seoul31114:314
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima31113:214
    8Johor DT31113:214
    9Melbourne City31022:4-23
    10Chengdu Rongcheng31022:4-23
    11Buriram31023:6-33
    12Shanghai Port30121:6-51


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal33008:449
    2Al Ahli SC321010:467
    3Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai32106:247
    4Al Wahda32105:237
    5Tractor31206:155
    6Al Sharjah31115:9-44
    7Al Ittihad31025:413
    8Al-Gharafa31025:8-33
    9Al-Sadd30213:5-22
    10Al-Duhail30124:7-31
    11Al Shorta30122:7-51
    12Nasaf Qarshi30035:11-60

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