Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
20/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.17
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
86% (372/434)85% (390/460)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.730.19
Total shots
125
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
258
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1716
Passes
86% (372/434)85% (390/460)
Long passes
51% (23/45)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
71% (83/117)71% (65/92)
Crosses
30% (3/10)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.20
Throw-ins
189
Fouls
1617
Tackles
73% (11/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
1318
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.193.73
Goals prevented
0.19-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 30', Diaz F. , Holgate M. ,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Millot E. , Matheus Goncalves (A),
  • 38', 2 - 0, Kessie F. , Matheus Goncalves (A),
  • 41', 3 - 0, Kessie F. , Mahrez R. (A),
  • 44', Demiral M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gunnarsson A. , Muntari M. ,
  • 63', Al Oui A. 🟨,
  • 65', Mahrez R. , Abu Al Shamat S. ,
  • 67', Joselu , Coman F. ,
  • 71', Millot E. 🟨,
  • 72', Millot E. , Al Buraikan F. ,
  • 72', Kessie F. , Al Hawsawi Z. ,
  • 72', Dams M. , Al Johani Z. ,
  • 76', 4 - 0, Abu Al Shamat S. , Toney I. (A),
  • 81', Demiral M. , Sulaiman M. ,
  • 87', Fadlalla S. , Hamed J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Al-Ahli Jeddah
78.3%
Draw
13.6%
Al-Gharafa
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.4% 14.8% 9.8%

Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.21
(1.22)
6.99
(6.22)
11.63
(9.41)
5.3%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2 - Al-Gharafa (1.99) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
    17.02.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa 4:2
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    17.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 0:3
    02.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor 0:1
    25.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:3
    22.09.2025 Muaither - Al-Gharafa 5:2
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe540110:4612
    2Melbourne City53026:519
    3Seoul52217:438
    4Machida52217:438
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima52215:328
    6Ulsan HD52214:318
    7Johor DT52126:517
    8Buriram52125:6-17
    9Gangwon52037:9-26
    10Chengdu Rongcheng51223:5-25
    11Shanghai Shenhua51135:8-34
    12Shanghai Port50142:11-91


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)