Result
0:1
17/01/2026 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/331) | 81% (329/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/331) | 81% (329/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (50/79) | 72% (112/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Maolida M. ↓, Sawan M. ↑,
- 45+2', Bahebri H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Galeno ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
- 69', Kessie F. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 69', Sulaiman M. ↓, Hamidou R. ↑,
- 72', Bahebri H. ↓, N'Doram K. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 1, Toney I. ⚽,
- 84', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 86', Demiral M. 🟨,
- 86', Cozzani J. 🟨,
- 87', Al Shehri S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 87', Al Dawsari A. ↓, Khalifah M. ↑,
- 90+4', Millot E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Al Sanbi A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Kholood
16.8% | Draw
20.6% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
62.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.56 ↓
(5.88) |
4.56 ↓
(4.66) |
1.48 ↑
(1.46) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 68.4% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4).
- Al-Kholood has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Ahli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Kholood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Kholood won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Kholood has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Kholood?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
17.05.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Kholood
4:1
15.01.2025
Al-Kholood
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:0
07.02.2023
Al-Kholood
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:2
05.09.2022
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Kholood
1:0
Latest results of Al-Kholood
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 82:24 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 79:25 | 54 | 74 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 74:32 | 42 | 68 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 57:41 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:48 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:48 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 24:68 | -44 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
