Result
2:0
29/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Asia | JACO Middle East |
Australia | Channel 10 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
China | QQ Sports |
France | DAZN France, New World TV |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | on.cc |
Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Iran | Persiana Sports 2 |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malaysia | SPOTV |
Mexico | FOX One |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Usa | FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (214/281) | 76% (213/281) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (214/281) | 76% (213/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (59/81) | 45% (37/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Al Amri A. 🟨,
- 18', Atangana V. 🟨,
- 45+4', Al Johani Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Demiral M. 🟨,
- 63', Galeno ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Joao Felix (A),
- 78', Atangana V. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 85', Mane S. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Coman K. ⚽, Yahya A. (A),
- 90+1', Ronaldo C. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
- 90+2', Toney I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Yahya A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
- 90+9', Coman K. 🟨,
- 90+11', Joao Felix ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
- 90+11', Coman K. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Nassr Riyadh 50.2% | Draw 26.3% | Al-Ahli Jeddah 23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↑ (1.88) |
3.57 ↓ (3.8) |
4.03 ↑ (3.46) |
5.5% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Nassr Riyadh will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 2.
- Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
- Al-Nassr could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
02.01.2026
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
3:2
23.08.2025
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2:3
13.02.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:3
13.09.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:1
15.03.2024
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:1
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 79:25 | 54 | 74 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:48 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1