Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
australiaAustraliaChannel 10
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chinaChinaQQ Sports
franceFranceDAZN France, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongon.cc
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
iranIranPersiana Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaSPOTV
mexicoMexicoFOX One
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor
usaUsaFOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.540.12
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
31
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
83
Passes
76% (214/281)76% (213/281)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
0.540.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.410.16
Total shots
74
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
61
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
1715
Passes
76% (214/281)76% (213/281)
Long passes
53% (26/49)41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
73% (59/81)45% (37/83)
Crosses
6% (1/18)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.25
Throw ins
923
Fouls
1517
Tackles
60% (9/15)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
1515
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.161.41
Goals prevented
0.16-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Al Amri A. 🟨,
  • 18', Atangana V. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Al Johani Z. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', Demiral M. 🟨,
  • 63', Galeno , Al Buraikan F. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Ronaldo C. , Joao Felix (A),
  • 78', Atangana V. , Abu Al Shamat S. ,
  • 85', Mane S. , Yahya A. ,
  • 90', 2 - 0, Coman K. , Yahya A. (A),
  • 90+1', Ronaldo C. , Al Hamdan A. ,
  • 90+2', Toney I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Yahya A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Majrashi A. , Abdulrahman M. ,
  • 90+9', Coman K. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Joao Felix , Al Nasser S. ,
  • 90+11', Coman K. , Al Ghannam S. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Nassr Riyadh
50.2%
Draw
26.3%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 24.3% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 23.6% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.88)
    3.57
    (3.8)
    4.03
    (3.46)
    5.5%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 2.
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Al-Nassr could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
    02.01.2026 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2
    23.08.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:3
    13.02.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3
    13.09.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 1:1
    15.03.2024 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr ✔ 30261381:216079
    2Al Hilal30228079:255474
    3Al Ahli SC29206355:223366
    4Al Qadsiah30198371:314065
    5Al Taawon30147952:401249
    6Al Ittihad29146947:38948
    7Al Ettifaq301361144:51-745
    8Neom SC311181240:44-441
    9Al Hazem311081334:53-1938
    10Al Khaleej301071351:48337
    11Al Fayha30981336:46-1035
    12Al Fateh30891338:51-1333
    13Al Shabab297111137:43-632
    14Al Kholood30931839:58-1930
    15Damac315111527:49-2226
    16Al Riyadh30581730:58-2823
    17Al Okhdood30442224:64-4016
    18Al Najma ✔ 30252329:72-4311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1