Result
1:1
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (487/542) | 77% (188/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (487/542) | 77% (188/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (20/32) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (94/128) | 71% (46/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 64% (7/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Toney I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 69', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 72', Majrashi A. 🟨,
- 77', Al Shwirekh M. 🟥,
- 82', Hernandez U. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
- 83', Toney I. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 83', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
- 83', Al Johani Z. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Brownhill J. ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
- 89', Millot E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Carrasco Y. 🟨,
- 90+2', Millot E. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
- 90+6', Adli Y. ↓, Al Subiani F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Jeddah
58.5% | Draw
22.3% | Al-Shabab Riyadh
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.48) |
4.22 ↓
(4.46) |
4.88 ↓
(5.55) |
7.2%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:32. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
11.05.2025
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3:1
10.01.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
3:2
11.05.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:2
25.11.2023
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
0:0
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19:2 | 17 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 11 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Al Kholood | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Neom SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Taawon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Al Ettifaq | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Hazem | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Riyadh | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | Damac | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
