Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/05/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh).

Saudi Professional League - Round 31
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.19	1.12
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
2	7
Passes
84% (311/372)	84% (310/368)
Yellow Cards
6	4
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19	1.12
xG on target (xGOT)
2.65	1.53
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
0	4
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
1	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
21	27
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
84% (311/372)	84% (310/368)
Long passes
56% (34/61)	48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
71% (75/106)	70% (82/117)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	1.40
Throw-ins
11	22
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
80% (12/15)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
39	42
Clearances
28	11
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.53	2.65
Goals prevented
0.34	-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Al Thani M. ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
28', Al Rashidi F. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Hamdallah A. ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Veiga G. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
40', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 3 - 1, Hamdallah A. ⚽, Robert Renan (A),
67', Al Rashidi F. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
67', Alexsander ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
74', Camara H. 🟨,
75', Harbush M. 🟨,
76', Kessie F. 🟨,
77', Hamdallah A. 🟨,
77', Hamdallah A. 🟨,
78', Toney I. 🟨,
84', Camara H. ↓, Al Sharari N. ↑,
87', Al Thani M. ↓, Harbush M. ↑,
90+2', Demiral M. 🟨,
90+6', Robert Renan 🟨,
90+10', Guanca C. ↓, Kanabah M. ↑,
90+10', Kamara G. ↓, Bonaventura G. ↑,
90+12', Al Juwayr M. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Al-Shabab Riyadh
29.6%

Draw
25%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

23.3%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

22.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3)	3.78 ↓ (3.85)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)	6.2% (11.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 1.
Al-Shabab has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Al-Ahli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Al-Shabab may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?

Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?

Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:

10.01.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 3:2

11.05.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 1:2

25.11.2023 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 0:0

Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh

01.05.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 3:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 0:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Kholood 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah

07.05.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun 2:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah 1:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Buriram United 3:0 ✺

22.04.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:3 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ittihad	34	26	5	3	79:35	44	83
2	Al Hilal	34	23	6	5	95:41	54	75
3	Al Nassr	34	21	7	6	80:38	42	70
4	Al Qadisiya	34	21	5	8	53:31	22	68
5	Al Ahli SC	34	21	4	9	69:36	33	67
6	Al Shabab	34	18	6	10	65:41	24	60
7	Al Ettifaq	34	14	8	12	44:45	-1	50
8	Al Taawon	34	12	9	13	40:39	1	45
9	Al Kholood	34	12	4	18	42:64	-22	40
10	Al Fateh	34	11	6	17	47:61	-14	39
11	Al Riyadh	34	10	8	16	37:52	-15	38
12	Al Khaleej	34	10	7	17	40:57	-17	37
13	Al Fayha	34	8	12	14	27:49	-22	36
14	Damac	34	9	8	17	37:50	-13	35
15	Al Okhdood	34	9	7	18	33:56	-23	34
16	Al Wehda	34	9	6	19	42:67	-25	33
17	Al Orubah	34	9	3	22	31:74	-43	30
18	Al Raed	34	6	3	25	41:66	-25	21

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1