Result
3:1
11/05/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (311/372) | 84% (310/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (311/372) | 84% (310/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (34/61) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (75/106) | 70% (82/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 26', 1 - 0, Al Thani M. ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
- 28', Al Rashidi F. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 0, Hamdallah A. ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
- 36', 2 - 1, Veiga G. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
- 40', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', 3 - 1, Hamdallah A. ⚽, Robert Renan (A),
- 67', Al Rashidi F. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
- 67', Alexsander ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
- 74', Camara H. 🟨,
- 75', Harbush M. 🟨,
- 76', Kessie F. 🟨,
- 77', Hamdallah A. 🟨,
- 77', Hamdallah A. 🟨,
- 78', Toney I. 🟨,
- 84', Camara H. ↓, Al Sharari N. ↑,
- 87', Al Thani M. ↓, Harbush M. ↑,
- 90+2', Demiral M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Robert Renan 🟨,
- 90+10', Guanca C. ↓, Kanabah M. ↑,
- 90+10', Kamara G. ↓, Bonaventura G. ↑,
- 90+12', Al Juwayr M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Al-Shabab Riyadh
29.6% | Draw
25% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(3) |
3.78 ↓
(3.85) |
2.06 ↑
(1.92) |
6.2%
(11.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 1.
- Al-Shabab has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Ahli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Shabab may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
10.01.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
3:2
11.05.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:2
25.11.2023
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
0:0
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Khaleej | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Fayha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Damac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Neom SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Najma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Okhdood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Taawon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
