Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
13/02/2026 at 08:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT
chinaChinaQQ Sports
hong-kongHong-kongon.cc
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.273.57
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
28
Big chances
36
Corner kicks
45
Passes
86% (306/356)83% (216/259)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.273.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.794.74
Total shots
615
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
513
Shots outside the box
12
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
36
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1827
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
34
Free kicks
1611
Passes
86% (306/356)83% (216/259)
Long passes
57% (24/42)64% (25/39)
Passes in final third
75% (75/100)63% (50/80)
Crosses
0% (0/14)53% (8/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.452.43
Throw ins
1220
Fouls
1116
Tackles
50% (5/10)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3638
Clearances
2014
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
4.740.79
Goals prevented
-0.26-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 4)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Hamidou R. ,
  • 20', 0 - 2, Kessie F. , Mahrez R. (A),
  • 25', 0 - 3, Mahrez R. , Al Hawsawi Z. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 3, Carrasco Y. ,
  • 34', 1 - 4, Millot E. , Toney I. (A),
  • 39', Millot E. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 4, Carrasco Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Al Sibyani H. K. A. , Balobaid S. ,
  • 46', Al Shwirekh M. , Hamdallah A. ,
  • 46', Camara H. , Adli Y. ,
  • 65', Brownhill J. , Al Hammami H. ,
  • 65', Millot E. , Al Johani Z. ,
  • 78', Mahrez R. , Abu Al Shamat S. ,
  • 78', Galeno , Al Buraikan F. ,
  • 82', Al Asmari A. , Azaizeh A. ,
  • 83', 2 - 5, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 87', Kessie F. , Al Muwallad E. ,
  • 87', Al Hawsawi Z. , Madani Y. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Shabab Riyadh
18.8%
Draw
24.1%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.2% 22.5% 59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 22.1% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.99
    (5.04)
    3.89
    (4.08)
    1.6
    (1.54)
    8.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 1.
    • In recent matches, Al-Shabab has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Ahli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al-Shabab has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1
    11.05.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 3:1
    10.01.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 3:2
    11.05.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 1:2
    25.11.2023 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 0:0
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr26221371:195267
    2Al Hilal26197067:234464
    3Al Ahli SC26195251:193262
    4Al Qadsiah26186262:253760
    5Al Taawon26136747:331445
    6Al Ittihad26126841:34742
    7Al Ettifaq26116936:44-839
    8Neom SC26961131:36-533
    9Al Fayha26961134:41-733
    10Al Hazem26871129:47-1831
    11Al Khaleej26861244:44030
    12Al Shabab26781133:39-629
    13Al Fateh26771234:47-1328
    14Al Kholood26811734:48-1425
    15Damac264101224:42-1822
    16Al Riyadh26471525:49-2419
    17Al Okhdood26341922:57-3513
    18Al Najma26152023:61-388

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