Result
4:2
08/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Championship Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/400) | 74% (213/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/400) | 74% (213/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (45/73) | 38% (11/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (99/135) | 57% (27/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 3.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.54 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Salah Mohsen ⚽, El Eraki K. (A),
- 15', Rabia R. ↓, El Aash M. ↑,
- 31', Faisal H. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Ashour E. ⚽, Abou Ali W. (A),
- 39', Ebuka J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Mohamed T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 3 - 1, Abou Ali W. ⚽,
- 60', Faisal H. ↓, Dabash A. A. ↑,
- 63', El Solia A. ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
- 71', Samadou A. ↓, Mido Gaber ↑,
- 71', Ebuka J. ↓, Ben Youssef F. ↑,
- 78', Salah Mohsen ↓, Bambo Karim ↑,
- 78', El Eraki K. ↓, Eid A. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 1, Ashour E. (Pen),
- 80', Mohamed T. ↓, Gradisar N. ↑,
- 80', Abou Ali W. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
- 80', Bencharki A. ↓, Afsha ↑,
- 81', 4 - 2, Ben Youssef F. ⚽, Bambo Karim (A),
- 90+3', Ashour E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo
64.4% | Draw
22.5% | Al Masry
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.5) |
4.11 ↑
(3.9) |
7.08 ↑
(6.5) |
7.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Al Masry will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 67.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Al Masry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al Ahly is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:8. (average 1.9:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Al Masry?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Al Masry has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry were as follows:
26.12.2024
Al Masry
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:2
26.07.2024
Al Masry
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
19.09.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Al Masry
4:0
03.08.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Al Masry
2:1
26.07.2023
Al Masry
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:0
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Latest results of Al Masry
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahly | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Al Masry | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Enppi | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Pyramids | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Smouha | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | ZED | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Modern Sport | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | National Bank Egypt | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 12 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | El Gouna | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Haras El Hodood | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | El Ismaily | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5:14 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Arab Contractors | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 21 | Pharco | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
