Al Ahly Cairo vs Al Masry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry
Result
4:2
08/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Championship Group - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptOn Time Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.260.56
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
82% (326/400)74% (213/286)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.260.56
xG on target (xGOT)
3.200.46
Total shots
159
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
127
Passes
82% (326/400)74% (213/286)
Long passes
62% (45/73)38% (11/29)
Passes in final third
73% (99/135)57% (27/47)
Crosses
29% (5/17)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.10
Throw-ins
1511
Fouls
712
Tackles
92% (11/12)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4025
Clearances
1124
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.463.20
Goals prevented
-1.54-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Salah Mohsen , El Eraki K. (A),
  • 15', Rabia R. , El Aash M. ,
  • 31', Faisal H. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Ashour E. , Abou Ali W. (A),
  • 39', Ebuka J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Mohamed T. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 58', 3 - 1, Abou Ali W. ,
  • 60', Faisal H. , Dabash A. A. ,
  • 63', El Solia A. , Tawfik A. ,
  • 71', Samadou A. , Mido Gaber ,
  • 71', Ebuka J. , Ben Youssef F. ,
  • 78', Salah Mohsen , Bambo Karim ,
  • 78', El Eraki K. , Eid A. ,
  • 78', 4 - 1, Ashour E. (Pen),
  • 80', Mohamed T. , Gradisar N. ,
  • 80', Abou Ali W. , El Shahat H. ,
  • 80', Bencharki A. , Afsha ,
  • 81', 4 - 2, Ben Youssef F. , Bambo Karim (A),
  • 90+3', Ashour E. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Al Ahly Cairo
64.4%
Draw
22.5%
Al Masry
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 23.8% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 23.2% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.5)
    4.11
    (3.9)
    7.08
    (6.5)
    7.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Al Masry will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 67.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Al Masry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al Ahly is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:8. (average 1.9:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 2.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Al Masry - Al Ahly Cairo 0:2
    26.07.2024 Al Masry - Al Ahly Cairo 0:1
    19.09.2023 Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry 4:0
    03.08.2023 Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry 2:1
    26.07.2023 Al Masry - Al Ahly Cairo 0:0
    Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
    Latest results of Al Masry
    01.05.2025 Al Masry - Zamalek 0:0
    13.04.2025 Al Masry - Petrojet 4:0
    09.04.2025 Simba - Al Masry 3:0
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Masry32108:357
    2Zamalek32104:137
    3ZED31203:125
    4Petrojet31203:215
    5Pyramids31203:215
    6Al Ahly21106:334
    7Haras El Hodood21101:014
    8El Gouna21101:014
    9Modern Sport31115:504
    10Ceramica Cleopatra31112:204
    11Enppi31111:2-14
    12El Gaish31112:4-24
    13Smouha30302:203
    14Ghazl El Mahallah30300:003
    15Al Ittihad31023:5-23
    16Kahrabaa Ismailia30213:4-12
    17National Bank Egypt30211:2-12
    18Arab Contractors30210:2-22
    19El Ismaily30120:2-21
    20Wadi Degla30120:2-21
    21Pharco30121:5-41

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )