Result
4:2
08/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Championship Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Egypt | On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.26 | 0.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
82% (326/400) | 74% (213/286) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.26 | 0.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.20 | 0.46 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (326/400) | 74% (213/286) |
Long passes |
---|
62% (45/73) | 38% (11/29) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (99/135) | 57% (27/47) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (5/17) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.86 | 0.10 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (11/12) | 71% (5/7) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 25 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.46 | 3.20 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.54 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Salah Mohsen ⚽, El Eraki K. (A),
- 15', Rabia R. ↓, El Aash M. ↑,
- 31', Faisal H. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Ashour E. ⚽, Abou Ali W. (A),
- 39', Ebuka J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Mohamed T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 3 - 1, Abou Ali W. ⚽,
- 60', Faisal H. ↓, Dabash A. A. ↑,
- 63', El Solia A. ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
- 71', Samadou A. ↓, Mido Gaber ↑,
- 71', Ebuka J. ↓, Ben Youssef F. ↑,
- 78', Salah Mohsen ↓, Bambo Karim ↑,
- 78', El Eraki K. ↓, Eid A. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 1, Ashour E. (Pen),
- 80', Mohamed T. ↓, Gradisar N. ↑,
- 80', Abou Ali W. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
- 80', Bencharki A. ↓, Afsha ↑,
- 81', 4 - 2, Ben Youssef F. ⚽, Bambo Karim (A),
- 90+3', Ashour E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo 64.4% | Draw 22.5% | Al Masry 13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.5) |
4.11 ↑ (3.9) |
7.08 ↑ (6.5) |
7.9% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Al Masry will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 67.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Al Masry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al Ahly is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:8. (average 1.9:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Al Masry?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Al Masry has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry were as follows:
26.12.2024
Al Masry
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:2
26.07.2024
Al Masry
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
19.09.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Al Masry
4:0
03.08.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Al Masry
2:1
26.07.2023
Al Masry
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:0
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Latest results of Al Masry
Egyptian Premier League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:9 | 13 | 58 |
2 | Pyramids | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 56 |
3 | Zamalek | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 47 |
4 | Al Masry | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 42 |
5 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Pharco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 32 |
8 | Petrojet | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 27 |
9 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:16 | -13 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )