Ismaily vs Al Ahly Cairo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo
Result
0:4
16/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EGYPT: Premier League - Round 14

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.282.39
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
513
Shots on Goal
19
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
34
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Free Kicks
59
Offsides
12
Fouls
95
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
2811
Touches in the Opposition Box
1026
Passes
69% (202/294)83% (378/453)
Passes in the final third
47% (35/74)68% (73/107)
Crosses
33% (2/6)33% (3/9)
Tackles
79% (11/14)80% (12/15)
Clearances Total
1311
Interceptions
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ateya M. (Pen),
  • 10', Reda A. 🟨,
  • 24', Mostafa A. 🟨,
  • 26', El Shahat H. (Pen),
  • 45+4', Nasr M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Abdelsamia M. , Farag N. ,
  • 46', Traore E. , Hamdi M. ,
  • 46', Zidan M. , El Dah A. ,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Ashour E. , Abdallah M. (A),
  • 57', Hamdi M. 🟨,
  • 69', Mohamed H. 🟨,
  • 74', Khatary M. , El Kot O. ,
  • 76', Gradisar N. , Abou Ali W. ,
  • 76', Rabia R. , Dari A. ,
  • 77', Ateya M. , Karim Nedved ,
  • 83', 0 - 3, El Shahat H. ,
  • 84', El Shahat H. , El Debes K. ,
  • 85', Ashour E. , Afsha ,
  • 88', 0 - 4, Reda A. ,
  • 90+2', Mohamed H. , Katkot A. ,

Chances of winning


Ismaily
13.5%
Draw
25%
Al Ahly Cairo
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.7% 23% 63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1% 21.9% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.91
    (6.69)
    3.72
    (3.98)
    1.51
    (1.45)
    7.5%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 0.
    • Ismaily is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Al Ahly is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ismaily could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Al Ahly is certain favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 0 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ismaily won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5:17 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:
    01.05.2024 Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo 1:2
    08.10.2023 Al Ahly Cairo - Ismaily 3:1
    05.07.2023 Al Ahly Cairo - Ismaily 1:0
    19.10.2022 Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo 0:1
    Latest results of Ismaily
    12.02.2025 El Gouna - Ismaily 2:0
    07.02.2025 Zamalek - Ismaily 2:0
    31.01.2025 Ismaily - Tala`ea El-Gaish 1:2
    21.01.2025 Ismaily - Smouha 1:0
    Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Masry22006:156
    2ZED21102:024
    3Modern Sport21104:314
    4Pyramids21101:014
    5Zamalek11002:023
    6El Gouna11001:013
    7Al Ahly10102:201
    8Smouha10101:101
    9Enppi10100:001
    10Ghazl El Mahallah10100:001
    11Petrojet10100:001
    12Wadi Degla10100:001
    13Pharco10100:001
    14National Bank Egypt10100:001
    15El Ismaily20110:1-11
    16Ceramica Cleopatra20110:2-21
    17El Gaish20111:4-31
    18Haras El Hodood00000:000
    19Kahrabaa Ismailia10010:1-10
    20Arab Contractors10010:2-20
    21Al Ittihad20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )