Al Ahly Cairo vs National Bank of Egypt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Salam Stadium (Cairo).

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 7
Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	On Time Sports 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.38	0.22
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
13	3
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
84% (453/537)	75% (262/349)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	0.81
Total shots
13	3
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
1	0
Shots inside the Box
3	1
Shots outside the Box
10	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
19	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
9	9
Passes
84% (453/537)	75% (262/349)
Long passes
52% (22/42)	43% (30/70)
Passes in final third
71% (94/133)	52% (46/89)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.33
Throw-ins
23	20
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
86% (12/14)	94% (15/16)
Duels won
36	38
Clearances
14	33
Interceptions
3	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.81	0.61
Goals prevented
-0.19	-1.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Faisal O. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Ashour E. ⚽, Bencharki A. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Annor Y. ⚽, Sayed A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gradisar N. ↓, Abou Ali W. ↑,
52', El Gazzar M. 🟨,
62', Tawfik A. ↓, El Solia A. ↑,
62', Bencharki A. ↓, Afsha ↑,
68', Ibrahim M. ↓, Madbouli A. ↑,
68', Sayed A. ↓, El Nadry A. ↑,
76', Mohamed T. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
81', Fathi M. ↓, Rayan A. ↑,
81', Faisal O. ↓, Aka S. ↑,
90+1', Saleh H. 🟨,
90+1', Saleh H. ↓, Bassiouny M. ↑,
90+1', Ashour E. ↓, Maaloul A. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Abou Ali W. ⚽,
90+8', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al Ahly Cairo
61.2%

Draw
23.8%

National Bank of Egypt
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.9%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

National Bank of Egypt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for National Bank of Egypt than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	3.9 ↓ (4.22)	6.17 ↓ (6.53)	8% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 4 - 80%). National Bank will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Al Ahly is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Qualification )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 3.
Al Ahly has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
National Bank is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Al Ahly is the clear favorite.
We predict that Al Ahly will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against National Bank of Egypt?

Al Ahly Cairo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has National Bank of Egypt won against Al Ahly Cairo?

National Bank of Egypt has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt were as follows:

01.12.2024 National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo 0:0

01.08.2024 Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt 1:0

12.03.2024 National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo 4:3

29.06.2023 National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo 0:3

24.01.2023 Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt 1:0

Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo

13.05.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra - Al Ahly Cairo 0:1 ✺

08.05.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry 4:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Haras El-Hodood 5:0 ✺

30.04.2025 Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo 2:3 ✺

25.04.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1 ✺

Latest results of National Bank of Egypt

13.05.2025 Haras El-Hodood - National Bank of Egypt 1:1 ✺

09.05.2025 National Bank of Egypt - Pyramids 4:2 ✺

05.05.2025 National Bank of Egypt - Zamalek 2:2 ✺

01.05.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra - National Bank of Egypt 2:4 ✺

23.04.2025 Modern Sport - National Bank of Egypt 0:2 ✺

Egyptian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ahly	10	6	3	1	19:12	7	21
2	Ceramica Cleopatra	10	6	2	2	12:4	8	20
3	Al Masry	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
4	Zamalek	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
5	Enppi	11	4	6	1	10:6	4	18
6	Pyramids	8	5	2	1	13:4	9	17
7	Wadi Degla	11	4	4	3	12:9	3	16
8	Smouha	10	3	6	1	8:5	3	15
9	ZED	11	4	3	4	9:8	1	15
10	Modern Sport	10	4	3	3	13:13	0	15
11	National Bank Egypt	10	3	5	2	10:5	5	14
12	Ghazl El Mahallah	11	2	8	1	7:4	3	14
13	Petrojet	10	3	5	2	9:10	-1	14
14	El Gouna	10	2	6	2	7:9	-2	12
15	Haras El Hodood	10	3	2	5	8:13	-5	11
16	El Gaish	11	2	3	6	3:13	-10	9
17	Al Ittihad	10	2	2	6	6:13	-7	8
18	Kahrabaa Ismailia	10	2	2	6	9:19	-10	8
19	El Ismaily	11	2	1	8	5:14	-9	7
20	Arab Contractors	11	0	6	5	4:10	-6	6
21	Pharco	10	0	6	4	3:10	-7	6

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