National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly Cairo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Petrosport Stadium (Cairo).

Premier League - Round 17
Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.63	1.47
Ball possession
33%	67%
Total shots
7	18
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	6
Passes
79% (229/289)	89% (518/584)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.63	1.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.69	0.72
Total shots
7	18
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
4	10
Blocked shots
1	6
Shots inside the box
5	13
Shots outside the box
2	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
10	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
10	13
Passes
79% (229/289)	89% (518/584)
Long passes
50% (21/42)	69% (37/54)
Passes in final third
75% (50/67)	79% (147/187)
Crosses
50% (5/10)	22% (8/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	1.34
Throw ins
17	37
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
73% (16/22)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
44	43
Clearances
47	12
Interceptions
11	1
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.72	0.69
Goals prevented
-0.28	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Shalaby M. ⚽, Madbouli A. (A),
31', Zizo ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
45', Eid A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bouchama S. ↓, Ibrahim M. ↑,
65', Kouka A. ↓, Ieltsin Camoes ↑,
66', Attia M. ↓, Dieng A. ↑,
66', Eid A. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
73', Madbouli A. ↓, Annor Y. ↑,
76', Annor Y. 🟨,
77', Oufa 🟨,
77', El Shahat H. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Trezeguet ⚽, El Shahat H. (A),
88', El Balouti A. 🟨,
88', Shalaby M. ↓, El Nadry A. ↑,
89', Reda A. ↓, El Zenary M. ↑,
89', Otaka M. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
90+3', Simpore S. ↓, Fathi M. ↑,

Chances of winning

National Bank of Egypt
20.1%

Draw
30.9%

Al Ahly Cairo
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

24.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

23.5%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

National Bank of Egypt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Ahly Cairo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for National Bank of Egypt than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ahly Cairo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↓ (4.88)	2.99 ↓ (3.83)	1.89 ↑ (1.64)	8.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - National Bank (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al Ahly Cairo will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Ahly Cairo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. National Bank (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Al Ahly (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, National Bank won 1.
Recent performances by National Bank have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al Ahly is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Al Ahly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Al Ahly is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, National Bank won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, National Bank won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has National Bank of Egypt won against Al Ahly Cairo?

National Bank of Egypt has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against National Bank of Egypt?

Al Ahly Cairo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:

17.05.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt 2:1

01.12.2024 National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo 0:0

01.08.2024 Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt 1:0

12.03.2024 National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo 4:3

29.06.2023 National Bank of Egypt - Al Ahly Cairo 0:3

Latest results of National Bank of Egypt

30.01.2026 El Mokawloon El Arab - National Bank of Egypt 0:1 ✺

12.01.2026 National Bank of Egypt - Ismaily 0:0 ✺

05.01.2026 National Bank of Egypt - Wadi Degla 2:2 ✺

31.12.2025 Petrojet - National Bank of Egypt 2:1 ✺

28.12.2025 National Bank of Egypt - ENPPI 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo

31.01.2026 Young Africans - Al Ahly Cairo 1:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - Wadi Degla 3:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - Young Africans 2:0 ✺

15.01.2026 Al Ahly Cairo - Tala`ea El-Gaish 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Pharco - Al Ahly Cairo 1:4 ✺

Egyptian Premier League Table

Relegation Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	ZED	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	32
9	Wadi Degla	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	30
10	El Gouna	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	29
11	National Bank Egypt	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	27
12	Petrojet	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	26
13	Modern Sport	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	24
14	El Gaish	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	22
15	Al Ittihad	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	21
16	Ghazl El Mahallah	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	20
17	Arab Contractors	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	19
18	Haras El Hodood	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	18
19	Kahrabaa Ismailia	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	17
20	Pharco	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	16
21	El Ismaily	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	12

Relegation ~ Division 2 A