Result
0:1
23/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/398) | 81% (351/436) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/398) | 81% (351/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (35/71) | 57% (38/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (73/110) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Marei Y. ↓, Reyad H. ↑,
- 30', 0 - 1, Otaka M. ⚽,
- 38', El Ghandour K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Ben Romdhane M. 🟨,
- 66', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
- 66', Samadou A. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
- 66', Afifi Y. ↓, Ragab M. ↑,
- 67', Badji P. 🟨,
- 73', Ramadan A. 🟨,
- 76', Fekri S. ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
- 82', Gomaa M. ↓, Hassan A. ↑,
- 83', Attia M. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
- 84', Bencharki A. ↓, Kouka A. ↑,
- 84', Otaka M. ↓, Ieltsin Camoes ↑,
- 89', Amadi S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Smouha
15.5% | Draw
27.2% | Al Ahly Cairo
57.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Smouha - Al Ahly Cairo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.92 ↑
(5.23) |
3.38 ↓
(3.41) |
1.6 ↓
(1.69) |
8.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Smouha - Al Ahly Cairo?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Al Ahly will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 48.9% – 92.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Ahly Cairo will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 0.
- Recent performances by Smouha have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al Ahly is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al Ahly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al Ahly is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Smouha has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Smouha?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smouha - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:
07.01.2025
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
2:0
08.08.2024
Smouha
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
28.11.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
0:0
17.04.2023
Smouha
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:2
17.01.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
3:1
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
