Result
2:0
07/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EGYPT: Premier League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (336/422) | 77% (300/390) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (60/97) | 71% (91/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 38% (9/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 100% (11/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Attiyat Allah Y. ↓, El Debes K. ↑,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Afsha ⚽, El Debes K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dari A. ↓, Ahmed Kouka ↑,
- 46', Juhayna ↓, Amadi S. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Ashour E. ⚽, El Shahat H. (A),
- 67', Liadi A. ↓, Hamada A. ↑,
- 72', Canaria ↓, Salim M. ↑,
- 75', Afsha ↓, El Solia A. ↑,
- 76', Yasser Ibrahim 🟨,
- 79', El Debes K. 🟨,
- 82', El Ouadi A. ↓, El Badry M. ↑,
- 82', Saber M. ↓, Said M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo
68.2% | Draw
21.6% | Smouha
10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.44) |
4.27 ↑
(4.04) |
9.05 ↑
(7.29) |
8.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 34 - 85%). Smouha will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 73.9% – 96.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: ) and 17 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 3.
- Recent matches Al Ahly is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Smouha is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Al Ahly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Al Ahly have a series of guest games.
- In this match Al Ahly is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:14 (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al Ahly won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:6 (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Smouha?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Smouha has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha were as follows:
08.08.2024
Smouha
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
28.11.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
0:0
17.04.2023
Smouha
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:2
17.01.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
3:1
25.12.2022
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
0:0
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Ahly | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Enppi | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Pyramids | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | ZED | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Modern Sport | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Smouha | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 12 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | El Gouna | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Haras El Hodood | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | El Ismaily | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5:14 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Arab Contractors | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 21 | Pharco | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
