Result
2:0
07/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EGYPT: Premier League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Egypt | On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.78 | 1.16 |
Ball Possession |
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51% | 49% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 17 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Fouls |
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17 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 15 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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30 | 26 |
Passes |
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80% (336/422) | 77% (300/390) |
Passes in the final third |
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62% (60/97) | 71% (91/128) |
Crosses |
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63% (5/8) | 38% (9/24) |
Tackles |
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83% (10/12) | 100% (11/11) |
Clearances Total |
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16 | 12 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Attiyat Allah Y. ↓, El Debes K. ↑,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Afsha ⚽, El Debes K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dari A. ↓, Ahmed Kouka ↑,
- 46', Juhayna ↓, Amadi S. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Ashour E. ⚽, El Shahat H. (A),
- 67', Liadi A. ↓, Hamada A. ↑,
- 72', Canaria ↓, Salim M. ↑,
- 75', Afsha ↓, El Solia A. ↑,
- 76', Yasser Ibrahim 🟨,
- 79', El Debes K. 🟨,
- 82', El Ouadi A. ↓, El Badry M. ↑,
- 82', Saber M. ↓, Said M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo 68.2% | Draw 21.6% | Smouha 10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.44) |
4.27 ↑ (4.04) |
9.05 ↑ (7.29) |
8.5% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 34 - 85%). Smouha will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 73.9% – 96.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: ) and 17 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 3.
- Recent matches Al Ahly is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Smouha is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Al Ahly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Al Ahly have a series of guest games.
- In this match Al Ahly is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:14 (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al Ahly won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:6 (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Smouha?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Smouha has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha were as follows:
08.08.2024
Smouha
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
28.11.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
0:0
17.04.2023
Smouha
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:2
17.01.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
3:1
25.12.2022
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
0:0
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:9 | 13 | 58 |
2 | Pyramids | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 56 |
3 | Zamalek | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 47 |
4 | Al Masry | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 42 |
5 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Pharco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 32 |
8 | Petrojet | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 27 |
9 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:16 | -13 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )