Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Championship Group - Round 2
- Referee: Naji A. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (442/502) | 72% (161/225) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (442/502) | 72% (161/225) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (43/75) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (173/208) | 63% (50/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Trezeguet ⚽, Zizo (A),
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Amadi S. ⚽, Ashraf H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Amer A. ↓, Reda S. ↑,
- 56', Sherif M. ↓, Otaka M. ↑,
- 64', Reda S. 🟨,
- 65', Ashour E. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. ↑,
- 65', Zizo ↓, Bencharki A. ↑,
- 66', Amadi S. ↓, Afifi Y. ↑,
- 83', El Sisi A. ↓, Fawzi A. ↑,
- 83', Samadou A. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
- 83', Fekri S. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
- 83', Marei Y. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Mohamed T. ⚽, Hany M. (A),
- 90+2', Mohamed T. 🟨,
- 90+6', El Shahat H. 🟨,
- 90+6', El Ghandour K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo
70.4% | Draw
20.8% | Smouha
8.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.39) |
4.49 ↑
(4.16) |
10.73 ↑
(8.44) |
6.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 4.
- Al Ahly is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Smouha has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al Ahly is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:14. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Smouha?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Smouha has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha were as follows:
23.02.2026
Smouha
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
07.01.2025
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
2:0
08.08.2024
Smouha
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:1
28.11.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Smouha
0:0
17.04.2023
Smouha
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:2
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 25 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Pharco | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 20 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 20 | Haras El Hodood | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 19 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
