Result
3:1
27/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (331/397) | 82% (349/426) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (331/397) | 82% (349/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 58% (29/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/106) | 66% (77/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', Kouka A. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Trezeguet ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Zizo (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Adel I. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
- 46', Hussein A. ↓, Boli F. ↑,
- 48', Ayman A. 🟨,
- 62', Diasty M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
- 62', Abdelrahim M. ↓, Oya Y. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Otaka M. ⚽, Ashour E. (A),
- 69', Ashour E. ↓, Bencharki A. ↑,
- 69', Kouka A. ↓, Shokry M. ↑,
- 69', Dieng A. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. ↑,
- 69', Dahesh A. ↓, Dahroug A. ↑,
- 70', Shokry M. 🟨,
- 74', Otaka M. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
- 74', Trezeguet ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Zizo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo
55.2% | Draw
28.5% | Wadi Degla
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Ahly Cairo's form might have worsened.Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Wadi Degla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.49) |
3.24 ↓
(4.03) |
5.63 ↓
(6.26) |
8.6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Wadi Degla?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 4.
- Al Ahly has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wadi Degla is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al Ahly is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 1.4:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Wadi Degla?
Al Ahly Cairo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wadi Degla won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Wadi Degla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Wadi Degla were as follows:
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Latest results of Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Wadi Degla | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 7 | National Bank Egypt | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | ZED | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Smouha | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:12 | 3 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
| 11 | Modern Sport | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Enppi | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 13 | El Gouna | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 18 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 | Arab Contractors | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Al Ittihad | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13:23 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 18 | Pharco | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 14 |
| 19 | El Gaish | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:35 | -16 | 13 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10:24 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
