Al Ain vs Al-Ahli Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Al Ain - Al-Ahli Jeddah
Result
1:2
25/11/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Sooka
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1
portugalPortugalCanal 11
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving
spainSpainLaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSport 24 International
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldOnefootball, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
2314
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
114
Blocked Shots
55
Free Kicks
1815
Corner Kicks
94
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
2423
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Fouls
1418
Yellow Cards
44
Total Passes
347389
Completed Passes
265323
Clearances Completed
1939
Crosses Completed
113
Interceptions
813

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Majrashi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 63', Rahimi S. 🟨,
  • 65', Feras Al Brikan , Toney I. ,
  • 65', Alexsander , Al Hurayji B. ,
  • 65', Majrashi A. , Al Johani Z. ,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Toney I. , Mahrez R. (A),
  • 74', 0 - 2, Toney I. , Mahrez R. (A),
  • 75', Palacios M. , Kaku ,
  • 76', Awad M. , Al Baloushi M. ,
  • 77', Firmino R. , Al Nabit S. ,
  • 83', Rahimi S. , Segovia M. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Kaku ,
  • 90+6', Veiga G. , Al Rashidi F. ,
  • 90+7', Mendy E. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Segovia M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Kessie F. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Al Nabit S. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Park Yong-Woo 🟨,
  • 90+10', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al Ain
30.5%
Draw
23.6%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.2% 19.6% 62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 19.1% 63.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Ain's performance.
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Ain that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ahli Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al Ain - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (5.2)
    3.96
    (4.83)
    2.04
    (1.52)
    7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Al Ain - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al Ain will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 35%88%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Al Ain is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Al-Ahli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Al Ain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Al Ain have a series of guest games.
    • Al-Ahli will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Ain won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 2:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Al Ain won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).
    Latest results of Al Ain
    21.11.2024 Al Urooba - Al Ain 2:4
    05.11.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Ain 5:1
    29.10.2024 Al Ahly Cairo - Al Ain 3:0
    25.10.2024 Dibba Al-Hisn - Al Ain 1:1
    21.10.2024 Al Ain - Al-Hilal 4:5
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Pakhtakor (8)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Gwangju FC (4)Vissel Kobe (5)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    3Al Ahli SC (2)Al Rayyan (7)2 : 0, 3 : 1
    4Johor DT (3)Buriram (6)0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Shanghai Port (8)4 : 1, 1 : 0
    6Al Nassr (3)Esteghlal F.C. (6)3 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Kawasaki Frontale (2)Shanghai Shenhua (7)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Al-Sadd (4)Al Wasl (5)3 : 1, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Gwangju FC (4)7 : 0
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Buriram (6)3 : 0
    3Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Al Nassr (3)1 : 4
    4Kawasaki Frontale (2)Al-Sadd (4)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al Ahli SC (2)1 : 3
    2Al Nassr (3)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 3

    Final
    1Al Ahli SC (2)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 0