Result
3:1
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 5 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Spain | Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | TRT Spor |
 Usa | FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (210/257) | 80% (240/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (210/257) | 80% (240/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (58/80) | 63% (42/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Galeno 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Toney I. ⚽, Galeno (A),
- 32', Fabinho 🟨,
- 35', 🟨,
- 40', Doumbia M. 🟨,
- 45+4', 🟨,
- 45+4', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Fabinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', 2 - 1, Mahrez R. ⚽,
- 67', Al Johani Z. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 75', Diaby M. ↓, Al Julaydan A. ↑,
- 75', Sharahili A. ↓, Al Oboud A. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 1, Al Buraikan F. ⚽,
- 86', Mahrez R. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
- 86', Aouar H. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
- 88', Pereira D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 90+4', Toney I. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 90+7', Mendy E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Jeddah
49.3% | Draw
25.3% | Al-Ittihad Jeddah
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.71) |
3.71 ↓
(3.76) |
3.67 ↓
(4.14) |
7.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 19% – 81%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Al-Ittihad (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 3.
- Al-Ahli is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Ittihad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Al-Ahli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ittihad Jeddah were as follows:
08.11.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0:1
05.04.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
2:2
31.10.2024
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:0
01.04.2024
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
1:0
06.10.2023
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0:1
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 38:57 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
