Result
2:3
26/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (464/532) | 83% (278/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 45 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (464/532) | 83% (278/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (39/63) | 52% (27/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (107/149) | 72% (78/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 33% (11/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.34 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Murg T. ↓, Aboulshamat S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 0, Fortounis K. ⚽, Aboulshamat S. (A),
- 53', Hamzi M. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Fortounis K. ⚽, Aboulshamat S. (A),
- 62', Al Hatila A. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Al Qaydhi M. ⚽, Musona K. (A),
- 72', Martins F. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
- 72', Al Salem A. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 72', Rebocho P. ↓, Nasser B. ↑,
- 75', Musona K. ↓, Al Zubaidi Y. ↑,
- 83', Hamzi M. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
- 84', Al Saeed M. ↓, Salem S. ↑,
- 85', Pato ↓, Al Zabdani H. ↑,
- 85', Khamis A. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
- 88', Al Zabdani H. 🟨,
- 90+4', Al Samiri K. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Al Abbas S. ⚽, Saviour G. (A),
- 90+15', 2 - 3, Al Jahif M. (Pen),
- 90+15', Al Jahif M. 🟨,
- 90+17', Al Zubaidi Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Khaleej
28.9% | Draw
26.5% | Al Akhdoud
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Khaleej's form might have worsened.Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Akhdoud's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Khaleej, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Akhdoud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.7) |
3.48 ↑
(3.43) |
2.09 ↓
(2.41) |
7.3%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud?
Users Predictions:
Al Akhdoud will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Akhdoud will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Recent form of Al-Khaleej has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al Akhdoud's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al Akhdoud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Al Akhdoud might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Khaleej won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Khaleej won against Al Akhdoud?
Al-Khaleej has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Khaleej?
Al Akhdoud has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud were as follows:
26.01.2025
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Khaleej
1:2
14.03.2024
Al-Khaleej
-
Al Akhdoud
2:2
22.09.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Khaleej
0:1
Latest results of Al-Khaleej
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Khaleej | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Fayha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Damac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Neom SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Najma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Okhdood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Taawon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
