Al-Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Dammam).

Saudi Professional League - Round 34
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
China	ZhiBo8
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	2.49
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
8	23
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
3	11
Passes
87% (464/532)	83% (278/334)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	2.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.50	1.66
Total shots
8	23
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
3	11
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
6	17
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
3	11
Touches in opposition box
19	45
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
16	15
Passes
87% (464/532)	83% (278/334)
Long passes
62% (39/63)	52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
72% (107/149)	72% (78/109)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	33% (11/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	2.11
Throw-ins
15	20
Fouls
15	16
Tackles
67% (10/15)	89% (16/18)
Duels won
50	52
Clearances
25	13
Interceptions
11	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.66	1.50
Goals prevented
-1.34	-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Murg T. ↓, Aboulshamat S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', 1 - 0, Fortounis K. ⚽, Aboulshamat S. (A),
53', Hamzi M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Fortounis K. ⚽, Aboulshamat S. (A),
62', Al Hatila A. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Al Qaydhi M. ⚽, Musona K. (A),
72', Martins F. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
72', Al Salem A. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
72', Rebocho P. ↓, Nasser B. ↑,
75', Musona K. ↓, Al Zubaidi Y. ↑,
83', Hamzi M. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
84', Al Saeed M. ↓, Salem S. ↑,
85', Pato ↓, Al Zabdani H. ↑,
85', Khamis A. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
88', Al Zabdani H. 🟨,
90+4', Al Samiri K. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Al Abbas S. ⚽, Saviour G. (A),
90+15', 2 - 3, Al Jahif M. (Pen),
90+15', Al Jahif M. 🟨,
90+17', Al Zubaidi Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al-Khaleej
28.9%

Draw
26.5%

Al Akhdoud
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Khaleej's form might have worsened.

Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Akhdoud's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Khaleej, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Akhdoud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.7)	3.48 ↑ (3.43)	2.09 ↓ (2.41)	7.3% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud?

Users Predictions: Al Akhdoud will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Akhdoud will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Recent form of Al-Khaleej has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al Akhdoud's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Al Akhdoud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Al Akhdoud might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Khaleej won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Khaleej won against Al Akhdoud?

Al-Khaleej has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Khaleej?

Al Akhdoud has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud were as follows:

26.01.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej 1:2

14.03.2024 Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud 2:2

22.09.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej 0:1

Latest results of Al-Khaleej

21.05.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Khaleej 2:0 ✺

16.05.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej 1:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al-Riyadh 1:2 ✺

02.05.2025 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej 2:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Al Akhdoud

22.05.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al Raed 1:0 ✺

17.05.2025 Al-Feiha - Al Akhdoud 2:0 ✺

12.05.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:9 ✺

01.05.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Wahda Mecca 1:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud 0:1 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ittihad	34	26	5	3	79:35	44	83
2	Al Hilal	34	23	6	5	95:41	54	75
3	Al Nassr	34	21	7	6	80:38	42	70
4	Al Qadisiya	34	21	5	8	53:31	22	68
5	Al Ahli SC	34	21	4	9	69:36	33	67
6	Al Shabab	34	18	6	10	65:41	24	60
7	Al Ettifaq	34	14	8	12	44:45	-1	50
8	Al Taawon	34	12	9	13	40:39	1	45
9	Al Kholood	34	12	4	18	42:64	-22	40
10	Al Fateh	34	11	6	17	47:61	-14	39
11	Al Riyadh	34	10	8	16	37:52	-15	38
12	Al Khaleej	34	10	7	17	40:57	-17	37
13	Al Fayha	34	8	12	14	27:49	-22	36
14	Damac	34	9	8	17	37:50	-13	35
15	Al Okhdood	34	9	7	18	33:56	-23	34
16	Al Wehda	34	9	6	19	42:67	-25	33
17	Al Orubah	34	9	3	22	31:74	-43	30
18	Al Raed	34	6	3	25	41:66	-25	21

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1