Result
2:3
26/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Asia | GOBX Arabic |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 2.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 23 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
87% (464/532) | 83% (278/334) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 2.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.50 | 1.66 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 23 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 11 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 17 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 45 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
87% (464/532) | 83% (278/334) |
Long passes |
---|
62% (39/63) | 52% (27/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (107/149) | 72% (78/109) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (3/14) | 33% (11/33) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.58 | 2.11 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (10/15) | 89% (16/18) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.66 | 1.50 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.34 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Murg T. ↓, Aboulshamat S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 47', 1 - 0, Fortounis K. ⚽, Aboulshamat S. (A),
- 53', Hamzi M. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Fortounis K. ⚽, Aboulshamat S. (A),
- 62', Al Hatila A. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Al Qaydhi M. ⚽, Musona K. (A),
- 72', Martins F. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
- 72', Al Salem A. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 72', Rebocho P. ↓, Nasser B. ↑,
- 75', Musona K. ↓, Al Zubaidi Y. ↑,
- 83', Hamzi M. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
- 84', Al Saeed M. ↓, Salem S. ↑,
- 85', Pato ↓, Al Zabdani H. ↑,
- 85', Khamis A. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
- 88', Al Zabdani H. 🟨,
- 90+4', Al Samiri K. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Al Abbas S. ⚽, Saviour G. (A),
- 90+15', 2 - 3, Al Jahif M. (Pen),
- 90+15', Al Jahif M. 🟨,
- 90+17', Al Zubaidi Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Khaleej 28.9% | Draw 26.5% | Al Akhdoud 44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Khaleej's form might have worsened.Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Akhdoud's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Khaleej, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Akhdoud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.27 ↑ (2.7) |
3.48 ↑ (3.43) |
2.09 ↓ (2.41) |
7.3% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud?
Users Predictions:
Al Akhdoud will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Akhdoud will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Recent form of Al-Khaleej has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al Akhdoud's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al Akhdoud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Al Akhdoud might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Khaleej won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Khaleej won against Al Akhdoud?
Al-Khaleej has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Khaleej?
Al Akhdoud has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud were as follows:
26.01.2025
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Khaleej
1:2
14.03.2024
Al-Khaleej
-
Al Akhdoud
2:2
22.09.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Khaleej
0:1
Latest results of Al-Khaleej
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Saudi Professional League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 79:35 | 44 | 83 |
2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:41 | 54 | 75 |
3 | Al Nassr | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 80:38 | 42 | 70 |
4 | Al Qadisiya | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 53:31 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 67 |
6 | Al Shabab | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 65:41 | 24 | 60 |
7 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 50 |
8 | Al Taawon | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Al Kholood | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 40 |
10 | Al Fateh | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 47:61 | -14 | 39 |
11 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:57 | -17 | 37 |
13 | Al Fayha | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 27:49 | -22 | 36 |
14 | Damac | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33:56 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Al Wehda | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:67 | -25 | 33 |
17 | Al Orubah | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 31:74 | -43 | 30 |
18 | Al Raed | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41:66 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1