Al-Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/01/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Dammam).

Saudi Professional League - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
3.10	0.29
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
9	4
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
4	2
Passes
90% (510/565)	82% (278/341)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
3.10	0.29
xG on target (xGOT)
4.69	0.44
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
9	4
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
11	1
Shots outside the box
4	6
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
32	7
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
11	16
Passes
90% (510/565)	82% (278/341)
Long passes
57% (21/37)	38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
76% (115/152)	74% (54/73)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.30	0.22
Throw ins
13	15
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
73% (8/11)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
40	40
Clearances
18	29
Interceptions
7	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	5
xGOT faced
0.44	4.69
Goals prevented
-0.56	0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Rebocho P. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, King J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Masouras G. ⚽, Rebocho P. (A),
62', Petros ↓, Ince B. ↑,
63', Kramer B. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
63', Gul G. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
66', Hamzi M. ↓, Fernandes P. ↑,
74', Al Salem A. 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Fortounis K. ⚽, Rebocho P. (A),
78', Kanabah M. ↓, Abdoulraouf A. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Masouras G. ⚽, King J. (A),
83', King J. ↓, Al Sultan H. ↑,
83', Rebocho P. ↓, Nasser B. ↑,
84', Schenkeveld B. ↓, Al Hafith A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 1, Al Hatila A. ⚽, Bassogog C. (A),

Chances of winning

Al-Khaleej
61.1%

Draw
22.3%

Al Akhdoud
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

23.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Khaleej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Khaleej's performance.

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	4.21 ↑ (3.6)	5.66 ↑ (4.4)	7.3% (12.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Al-Khaleej (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Khaleej will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Khaleej will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Khaleej (votes: 11 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 3.
Recent performances by Al-Khaleej have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Al Akhdoud's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Al-Khaleej may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al-Khaleej is seen as the favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Khaleej won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Khaleej won against Al Akhdoud?

Al-Khaleej has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Khaleej?

Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud were as follows:

26.05.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud 2:3

26.01.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej 1:2

14.03.2024 Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud 2:2

22.09.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej 0:1

Latest results of Al-Khaleej

12.01.2026 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej 1:2 ✺

09.01.2026 Al-Khaleej - Damac 4:0 ✺

02.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Khaleej 2:2 ✺

29.12.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al Fateh 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Khaleej 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Al Akhdoud

13.01.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Kholood 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:1 ✺

02.01.2026 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud 2:0 ✺

30.12.2025 Al Akhdoud - Damac 0:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:0 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr ✔	30	26	1	3	81:21	60	79
2	Al Hilal	29	21	8	0	76:25	51	71
3	Al Ahli SC	29	20	6	3	55:22	33	66
4	Al Qadsiah	30	19	8	3	71:31	40	65
5	Al Taawon	30	14	7	9	52:40	12	49
6	Al Ittihad	29	14	6	9	47:38	9	48
7	Al Ettifaq	30	13	6	11	44:51	-7	45
8	Neom SC	30	11	7	12	38:42	-4	40
9	Al Hazem	30	10	8	12	34:50	-16	38
10	Al Fayha	30	9	8	13	36:46	-10	35
11	Al Khaleej	29	9	7	13	49:48	1	34
12	Al Shabab	29	7	11	11	37:43	-6	32
13	Al Fateh	29	8	8	13	36:49	-13	32
14	Al Kholood	30	9	3	18	39:58	-19	30
15	Damac	30	5	11	14	27:47	-20	26
16	Al Riyadh	30	5	8	17	30:58	-28	23
17	Al Okhdood	30	4	4	22	24:64	-40	16
18	Al Najma ✔	30	2	5	23	29:72	-43	11

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1