Al-Bukayriyah vs Abha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.682.19
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
34
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
11
Passes
78% (276/353)78% (287/366)
Yellow cards
52
Expected goals (xG)
1.682.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.312.08
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
96
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free kicks
1614
Passes
78% (276/353)78% (287/366)
Long passes
61% (44/72)42% (27/65)
Passes in final third
67% (62/93)54% (55/101)
Crosses
50% (5/10)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.330.92
Throw ins
1720
Fouls
1416
Tackles
63% (5/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3640
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
2.081.31
Goals prevented
0.080.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Al Daajani N. ,
  • 21', Bin Shuwayii K. 🟨,
  • 25', Pinero F. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 2, Sow S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+3', Al Eissa H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Fallatah S. , Kaabi N. ,
  • 59', Al Eissa H. , Al Barakah I. ,
  • 69', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
  • 69', Ibrahim Y. Y. , Al Mousa H. ,
  • 72', Ousmane Pato 🟨,
  • 74', Sow S. 🟨,
  • 84', Sharahili R. , Al Akouz S. S. ,
  • 84', Al Sunaytan I. , Al Malki M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Ousmane Pato , Pain C. (A),
  • 90+3', Al Ghamdi F. , Al Manhali S. ,
  • 90+3', Muralha , Al Jayzani F. ,
  • 90+3', Al Mutairi M. , Al Mutairi B. ,
  • 90+6', Al Akouz S. S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Bukayriyah
16.1%
Draw
24.1%
Abha
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 25.2% 58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 24.2% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Bukayriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Al-Bukayriyah - Abha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.68
    (5.57)
    3.8
    (3.63)
    1.53
    (1.57)
    9.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
    • Al-Bukayriyah is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Abha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Abha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Abha is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Bukayriyah won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Bukayriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Bukayriyah - Abha were as follows:
    27.11.2025 Abha - Al-Bukayriyah 0:0
    11.02.2025 Abha - Al-Bukayriyah 1:3
    16.09.2024 Al-Bukayriyah - Abha 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
    Latest results of Abha
    27.03.2026 Abha - Al Jubail 2:0
    01.03.2026 Al Jandal - Abha 1:1
    24.02.2026 Abha - Al-Anwar 1:1
    20.02.2026 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Abha 1:3
    15.02.2026 Abha - Al-Wahda Mecca 2:1
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha28225159:223771
    2Al Diriyah28195468:284062
    3Al-Ula28167560:283255
    4Al-Faisaly281410456:332352
    5Al Orubah28155844:35950
    6Al Jabalain28147749:341549
    7Al Raed28129752:371545
    8Al Zulfi28109938:35339
    9Al Taee281081041:39238
    10Al Bukiryah281141330:40-1037
    11Al Anwar28811942:41135
    12Jeddah288101030:39-934
    13Al Wehda28961342:51-933
    14Al Jandal28781326:48-2229
    15Al Adalah28391634:63-2918
    16Al Arabi28442014:51-3716
    17Al Batin28361929:57-2815
    18Al Jubail28352024:57-3314

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