Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (264/341) | 86% (389/454) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 2.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (264/341) | 86% (389/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 67% (32/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (50/84) | 68% (77/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.47 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Al Malki M. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Eissa I. K. ⚽, Dias R. (A),
- 26', Al Akouz S. S. ↓, Sharahili R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, Ousmane Pato ⚽, Kaabi N. (A),
- 53', Al Malki M. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 1, Al Rashwodi N. ⚽,
- 65', Al Rashwodi N. ↓, Lahlali Z. ↑,
- 78', Eissa I. K. ↓, Al Khaldi N. ↑,
- 79', Ousmane Pato 🟨,
- 81', Al Eissa H. ↓, Al Barakah I. ↑,
- 85', Kaabi N. ↓, Al Qarani Y. ↑,
- 85', Al Sunaytan I. ↓, Al Muwallad S. ↑,
- 89', Al Qarani Y. 🟨,
- 90+5', Hazazi N. ↓, Al Omari A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Jubail
26.2% | Draw
29.5% | Al-Bukayriyah
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Jubail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Jubail's form might have worsened.Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Bukayriyah's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Jubail than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Jubail - Al-Bukayriyah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(2.84) |
3.06 ↑
(2.94) |
2.04 ↓
(2.4) |
10.7%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Jubail won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Al Jubail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Jubail won against Al-Bukayriyah?
Al Jubail has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Bukayriyah won against Al Jubail?
Al-Bukayriyah has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Jubail - Al-Bukayriyah were as follows:
09.11.2025
Al-Bukayriyah
-
Al Jubail
1:0
27.01.2025
Al Jubail
-
Al-Bukayriyah
2:1
26.08.2024
Al-Bukayriyah
-
Al Jubail
0:0
Latest results of Al Jubail
Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 63:29 | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 74:33 | 41 | 69 |
| 3 | Al-Faisaly | 32 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 70:32 | 38 | 67 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:31 | 35 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Orubah ✔ | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54:38 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 57:43 | 14 | 48 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 42:39 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Al Bukiryah | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 34:43 | -9 | 43 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 50:56 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 48:49 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 32:46 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 41:70 | -29 | 27 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22:60 | -38 | 21 |
| 17 | Al Batin ✔ | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 35:64 | -29 | 19 |
| 18 | Al Jubail ✔ | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 28:69 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Al Batin is Relegated to
Al Jubail is Relegated to
