Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 07:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (266/350) | 74% (222/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (266/350) | 74% (222/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 37% (20/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (53/93) | 69% (47/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.75 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Eduardo Henrique ↓, Al Harbi H. ↑,
- 35', 0 - 1, Al Shuwayyi K. ⚽, Jaafari I. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Raphael Silva ⚽, Al Badah A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
- 69', Al Harbi H. ↓, Haddad M. ↑,
- 72', Jaafari I. ↓, Al Malki M. ↑,
- 73', Kaabi N. 🟨,
- 74', Al Nakhli M. 🟨,
- 81', Kaabi N. ↓, Al Nakhli M. ↑,
- 84', Raphael Silva 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 2, Al Shuwayyi K. ⚽, Faik H. (A),
- 90+2', Al Nakhli M. ↓, Al Sahli A. ↑,
- 90+2', Doshy M. ↓, Al Mogren A. ↑,
- 90+7', Fallatah S. ↓, Al Barakah I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Faisaly
46.2% | Draw
28.4% | Al-Bukayriyah
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Faisaly's form might have worsened.Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.75) |
3.2 ↓
(3.43) |
3.59 ↓
(4.36) |
9.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Al-Faisaly has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Bukayriyah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Faisaly is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Faisaly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Faisaly won against Al-Bukayriyah?
Al-Faisaly has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Bukayriyah won against Al-Faisaly?
Al-Bukayriyah has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah were as follows:
15.03.2025
Al-Bukayriyah
-
Al-Faisaly
1:1
03.11.2024
Al-Faisaly
-
Al-Bukayriyah
0:1
03.03.2024
Al-Faisaly
-
Al-Bukayriyah
5:2
03.10.2023
Al-Bukayriyah
-
Al-Faisaly
0:0
Latest results of Al-Faisaly
Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 52:19 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 56:24 | 32 | 52 |
| 3 | Al Jabalain | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 47:26 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 48:24 | 24 | 46 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Al-Faisaly | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 42 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 34 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:35 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Al Zulfi | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Jeddah | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Al Anwar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:43 | -24 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 31:51 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12:42 | -30 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25:47 | -22 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20:49 | -29 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
