Al Jubail vs Al-Bukayriyah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.871.65
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
74
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
41
Passes
77% (264/341)86% (389/454)
Yellow cards
04
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.871.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.902.47
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
108
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1413
Passes
77% (264/341)86% (389/454)
Long passes
40% (20/50)67% (32/48)
Passes in final third
60% (50/84)68% (77/113)
Crosses
29% (4/14)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.29
Throw ins
2116
Fouls
1314
Tackles
100% (10/10)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
2.471.90
Goals prevented
1.47-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Al Malki M. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Eissa I. K. , Dias R. (A),
  • 26', Al Akouz S. S. , Sharahili R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Ousmane Pato , Kaabi N. (A),
  • 53', Al Malki M. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Al Rashwodi N. ,
  • 65', Al Rashwodi N. , Lahlali Z. ,
  • 78', Eissa I. K. , Al Khaldi N. ,
  • 79', Ousmane Pato 🟨,
  • 81', Al Eissa H. , Al Barakah I. ,
  • 85', Kaabi N. , Al Qarani Y. ,
  • 85', Al Sunaytan I. , Al Muwallad S. ,
  • 89', Al Qarani Y. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Hazazi N. , Al Omari A. ,

Chances of winning


Al Jubail
26.2%
Draw
29.5%
Al-Bukayriyah
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 30.6% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 29.7% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Jubail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Jubail's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Bukayriyah's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Jubail than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al Jubail - Al-Bukayriyah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (2.84)
    3.06
    (2.94)
    2.04
    (2.4)
    10.7%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Jubail won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Al Jubail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Jubail - Al-Bukayriyah were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al Jubail 1:0
    27.01.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Bukayriyah 2:1
    26.08.2024 Al-Bukayriyah - Al Jubail 0:0
    Latest results of Al Jubail
    24.02.2026 Al Raed - Al Jubail 1:0
    19.02.2026 Al Jubail - Al-Batin 1:0
    14.02.2026 Al-Taee - Al Jubail 4:0
    09.02.2026 Al Jubail - Al-Orobah 2:3
    04.02.2026 Al-Anwar - Al Jubail 4:3
    Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha28225159:223771
    2Al Diriyah28195468:284062
    3Al-Ula28167560:283255
    4Al-Faisaly281410456:332352
    5Al Orubah28155844:35950
    6Al Jabalain28147749:341549
    7Al Raed28129752:371545
    8Al Zulfi28109938:35339
    9Al Taee281081041:39238
    10Al Bukiryah281141330:40-1037
    11Al Anwar28811942:41135
    12Jeddah288101030:39-934
    13Al Wehda28961342:51-933
    14Al Jandal28781326:48-2229
    15Al Adalah28391634:63-2918
    16Al Arabi28442014:51-3716
    17Al Batin28361929:57-2815
    18Al Jubail28352024:57-3314

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