Al Raed vs Al-Bukayriyah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
02/02/2026 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.970.43
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
62
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
31
Passes
81% (320/397)81% (286/351)
Yellow cards
15
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.970.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.13
Total shots
139
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
72
Shots outside the box
67
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
207
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free kicks
157
Passes
81% (320/397)81% (286/351)
Long passes
48% (32/67)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
58% (58/100)62% (42/68)
Crosses
8% (1/13)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.15
Throw ins
1622
Fouls
715
Tackles
94% (16/17)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4431
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.131.13
Goals prevented
-0.870.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Pinero F. 🟨,
  • 32', Al Sunaytan I. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Ousmane Pato 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Al Khamali B. , Jawhar M. ,
  • 50', Narvaez J. , Al Shanqiti W. ,
  • 54', Ousmane Pato 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Gano Z. , Bouzok Y. (A),
  • 67', Al-Eissa H. , Jaafari I. ,
  • 72', Sane M. , Al Malki M. ,
  • 78', Gano Z. , Sunbul Y. ,
  • 78', Shami A. , Al Shaikhi A. ,
  • 81', Sharahili R. , Al Muwallad S. ,
  • 82', Moya J. , Al Nakhli M. ,
  • 82', Al Yousif A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Al Salouli S. , Al Shuqayran T. ,
  • 90+3', Bouzok Y. , Al Shaikh M. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Al Malki M. , Al Sunaytan I. (A),
  • 90+3', Al Malki M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al Raed
48.7%
Draw
26.8%
Al-Bukayriyah
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 24.6% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 24% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Raed's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Raed, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Al Raed - Al-Bukayriyah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.68)
    3.4
    (3.73)
    3.72
    (4.38)
    9.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al Raed - Al-Bukayriyah?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Al-Bukayriyah (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Al Raed will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Raed will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Raed (votes: 2 - 50%). Al-Bukayriyah (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Al Raed is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al Raed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Raed - Al-Bukayriyah were as follows:
    29.09.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al Raed 0:1
    Latest results of Al Raed
    26.01.2026 Al-Batin - Al Raed 1:1
    22.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Adalh 6:3
    17.01.2026 Abha - Al Raed 2:1
    13.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Zulfi 1:2
    07.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Ula 3:2
    Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
    28.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula 1:3
    23.01.2026 Al-Orobah - Al-Bukayriyah 3:0
    16.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Diriyah 0:1
    11.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah 1:2
    06.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Batin 5:1
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha ✔ 32245363:293477
    2Al Diriyah32216574:334169
    3Al-Faisaly321910370:323867
    4Al-Ula32198566:313565
    5Al Orubah ✔ 32185949:371259
    6Al Jabalain32158954:381653
    7Al Raed321391057:431448
    8Al Zulfi3211111042:39344
    9Al Taee321281246:46044
    10Al Bukiryah321271334:43-943
    11Al Wehda321171450:56-640
    12Al Anwar329111248:49-138
    13Jeddah328121232:46-1436
    14Al Jandal32781730:56-2629
    15Al Adalah32691741:70-2927
    16Al Arabi32562122:60-3821
    17Al Batin ✔ 32472135:64-2919
    18Al Jubail ✔ 32352428:69-4114

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
    Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Al Batin is Relegated to
    Al Jubail is Relegated to