Al Dhafra vs Al-Nasr – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 09:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium (Madinat Zayed).

UAE League - Round 22
Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	ADtv, Dubai Sports 1
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.62	0.78
Ball possession
35%	65%
Total shots
7	8
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
3	4
Passes
77% (225/292)	86% (462/537)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.62	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	0.64
Total shots
7	8
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked shots
0	3
Shots inside the box
5	4
Shots outside the box
2	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
19	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
15	11
Passes
77% (225/292)	86% (462/537)
Long passes
34% (16/47)	53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
63% (55/88)	68% (78/114)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	1.09
Throw ins
16	17
Fouls
11	15
Tackles
75% (9/12)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
42	46
Clearances
30	16
Interceptions
12	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.64	0.07
Goals prevented
-0.36	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Faiz I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mahdi H. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
46', Mierez R. ↓, Ghaedi M. ↑,
46', Agudelo K. ↓, Azarkan M. ↑,
63', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
66', Al Harbi M. ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
66', Ibrahim K. ↓, El Berkaoui K. ↑,
69', Serafim ↓, Al Marzouqi Y. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Doumbia C. ⚽, Ghaedi M. (A),
82', Amesimeku L. ↓, Noumonvi E. ↑,
86', Toure A. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
89', Al Karbi A. 🟨,
90+1', Petrovic D. ↓, Felipe Motta ↑,
90+3', Shambih A. 🟨,
90+6', Doumbia C. 🟨,
90+6', Rabja M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al Dhafra
25%

Draw
26.7%

Al-Nasr
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

25.3%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Dhafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Al Dhafra - Al-Nasr Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.43)	3.47 ↓ (3.67)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)	7.7% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Al Dhafra - Al-Nasr?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 0.
Al Dhafra is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Al-Nasr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Al-Nasr could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Dhafra won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Al Dhafra won against Al-Nasr?

Al Dhafra has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Al Dhafra?

Al-Nasr has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Dhafra - Al-Nasr were as follows:

21.11.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Dhafra 2:0

27.01.2023 Al-Nasr - Al Dhafra 1:0

15.12.2022 Al-Nasr - Al Dhafra 2:1

11.12.2022 Al Dhafra - Al-Nasr 0:3

03.09.2022 Al Dhafra - Al-Nasr 1:1

Latest results of Al Dhafra

05.04.2026 Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Dhafra 1:0 ✺

18.03.2026 Al Wasl - Al Dhafra 3:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Al Dhafra - Al-Jazira 1:2 ✺

26.02.2026 Ittihad Kalba - Al Dhafra 1:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:5 ✺

Latest results of Al-Nasr

04.04.2026 Al-Nasr - Al-Wahda 2:2 ✺

18.03.2026 Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh 1:1 ✺

11.03.2026 Al-Sharjah - Al-Nasr 1:2 ✺

27.02.2026 Dibba Al Fujairah - Al-Nasr 1:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan 2:2 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ain	23	18	5	0	48:18	30	59
2	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	23	16	5	2	55:14	41	53
3	Al Jazira	23	12	4	7	40:26	14	40
4	Al Wasl	23	11	6	6	32:25	7	39
5	Al Wahda	23	10	9	4	35:21	14	39
6	Al Nasr	23	8	10	5	31:29	2	34
7	Ajman	23	8	3	12	22:31	-9	27
8	Khorfakkan	23	6	7	10	33:41	-8	25
9	Bani Yas	23	7	4	12	24:35	-11	25
10	Al Sharjah	23	7	4	12	32:41	-9	25
11	Ittihad Kalba	23	5	8	10	27:41	-14	23
12	Al Bataeh	23	4	7	12	22:34	-12	19
13	Al Dhafra	23	5	3	15	25:45	-20	18
14	Dibba Al Fujairah	23	4	5	14	23:48	-25	17

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