Al-Diriyah vs Al-Arabi Al-Saudi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
28/11/2025 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.20
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
245
Shots on target
141
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
77% (240/313)80% (287/360)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.20
xG on target (xGOT)
3.010.11
Total shots
245
Shots on target
141
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
193
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
3613
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
89
Passes
77% (240/313)80% (287/360)
Long passes
43% (19/44)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
67% (85/126)61% (42/69)
Crosses
53% (10/19)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
2.270.50
Throw-ins
2820
Fouls
98
Tackles
75% (15/20)48% (10/21)
Duels won
5245
Clearances
2625
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
0.113.01
Goals prevented
-0.89-1.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', Ciss A. 🟨,
  • 8', Diandy C. 🟨,
  • 8', Al Qarni I. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Al Qahtani Z. , Rodriguez O. (A),
  • 26', Al Haribi A. 🟨,
  • 36', Udo S. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Marega M. , Laborde G. (A),
  • 45+4', 3 - 0, Al Qarni I. , Diandy C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', 4 - 0, Laborde G. ,
  • 58', Al Qarni I. , Al Farhan S. ,
  • 58', Al Masoudi A. , Vinicius Araujo ,
  • 58', Waheeb W. , Al Zaqan A. ,
  • 58', Al Bishi B. , Faqihi S. ,
  • 67', Faqihi S. 🟨,
  • 69', Udo S. , Al Sufyani M. ,
  • 69', Al Haribi A. , Housawi A. ,
  • 73', Marega M. , Al Zarie H. ,
  • 80', 5 - 0, Colley O. , Rodriguez O. (A),
  • 83', Diandy C. , Al Dossari F. ,
  • 83', Rodriguez O. , Al Shahrani A. ,
  • 84', 5 - 1, Ciss A. , Al Sufyani M. (A),
  • 90+2', Al Mushawh A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Diriyah
71.4%
Draw
16.3%
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 20.4% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 19.3% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Al-Diriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.35)
    5.59
    (4.45)
    7.37
    (7.25)
    9.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Diriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Diriyah will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • Al-Diriyah has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Arabi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Al-Diriyah is the undisputed favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Al-Diriyah
    23.11.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al-Faisaly 1:1
    07.11.2025 Al-Batin - Al-Diriyah 1:2
    02.11.2025 Al-Diriyah - Jeddah 1:0
    28.10.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Diriyah 3:3
    20.10.2025 Al-Ula - Al-Diriyah 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah26175462:273556
    3Al-Ula26157455:253052
    4Al Jabalain26147549:301949
    5Al Orubah26145741:33847
    6Al-Faisaly261210453:322146
    7Al Raed26118748:351341
    8Al Bukiryah261141129:36-737
    9Al Zulfi2698932:32035
    10Al Taee26881038:39-132
    11Al Wehda26951239:44-532
    12Al Anwar26710935:38-331
    13Jeddah26710928:36-831
    14Al Jandal26681222:45-2326
    15Al Adalah26381532:58-2617
    16Al Arabi26441812:44-3216
    17Al Batin26351827:53-2614
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation