Result
0:3
26/01/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (232/311) | 87% (531/611) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (232/311) | 87% (531/611) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/54) | 67% (31/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (63/103) | 72% (94/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 94% (16/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Al Mhemaid A. ⚽,
- 18', Al Mhemaid A. 🟨,
- 33', Al Sahli N. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Luvannor ⚽, Morato (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Waheeb W. ↓, Al Zaqan A. ↑,
- 46', Al Bishi B. ↓, Al Rashidi H. ↑,
- 46', 0 - 3, Quioto R. ⚽,
- 63', Al Sufyani M. ↓, Al Salem M. ↑,
- 72', Quioto R. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
- 72', Luvannor ↓, Al Sahli A. ↑,
- 72', Al Mhemaid A. ↓, Al Mogren A. ↑,
- 74', Faraj A. ↓, Ciss A. ↑,
- 79', Al Sahli N. 🟨,
- 80', Doshy M. ↓, Al Shanqiti M. ↑,
- 80', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Jahfali M. ↑,
- 85', Idris R. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+6', Al Fuhaid M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
10.7% | Draw
18% | Al-Faisaly
71.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's form might have worsened.Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Faisaly's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+17.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-26.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.51 ↑
(3.48) |
5.09 ↑
(3.59) |
1.28 ↓
(1.87) |
9.3%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Faisaly (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Faisaly will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 2.
- Al-Arabi has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Faisaly's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Arabi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Faisaly is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Arabi Al-Saudi won against Al-Faisaly?
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Faisaly won against Al-Arabi Al-Saudi?
Al-Faisaly has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly were as follows:
16.09.2025
Al-Faisaly
-
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
0:0
04.04.2025
Al-Faisaly
-
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
1:1
08.11.2024
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
-
Al-Faisaly
2:1
23.04.2024
Al-Faisaly
-
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
2:1
06.12.2023
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
-
Al-Faisaly
3:0
Latest results of Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
Latest results of Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 53:20 | 33 | 62 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 62:27 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 55:25 | 30 | 52 |
| 4 | Al Jabalain | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Al-Faisaly | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 53:32 | 21 | 46 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 41 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Al Zulfi | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Al Taee | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22:45 | -23 | 26 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 32:58 | -26 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 12:44 | -32 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 27:53 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
