Al-Arabi Al-Saudi vs Al-Faisaly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
26/01/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.412.04
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
24
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
30
Passes
75% (232/311)87% (531/611)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.412.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.341.82
Total shots
713
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
311
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
1637
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
14
Free kicks
810
Passes
75% (232/311)87% (531/611)
Long passes
35% (19/54)67% (31/46)
Passes in final third
61% (63/103)72% (94/131)
Crosses
18% (3/17)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.492.00
Throw ins
1732
Fouls
108
Tackles
45% (9/20)94% (16/17)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
2820
Interceptions
1613
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.820.34
Goals prevented
-1.180.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Al Mhemaid A. ,
  • 18', Al Mhemaid A. 🟨,
  • 33', Al Sahli N. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 2, Luvannor , Morato (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Waheeb W. , Al Zaqan A. ,
  • 46', Al Bishi B. , Al Rashidi H. ,
  • 46', 0 - 3, Quioto R. ,
  • 63', Al Sufyani M. , Al Salem M. ,
  • 72', Quioto R. , Al Fuhaid M. ,
  • 72', Luvannor , Al Sahli A. ,
  • 72', Al Mhemaid A. , Al Mogren A. ,
  • 74', Faraj A. , Ciss A. ,
  • 79', Al Sahli N. 🟨,
  • 80', Doshy M. , Al Shanqiti M. ,
  • 80', Al Shereaf A. , Jahfali M. ,
  • 85', Idris R. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Al Fuhaid M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
10.7%
Draw
18%
Al-Faisaly
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 25.3% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 23.3% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Faisaly's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-26.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.51
    (3.48)
    5.09
    (3.59)
    1.28
    (1.87)
    9.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Faisaly (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Faisaly will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 2.
    • Al-Arabi has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Al-Faisaly's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Arabi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Faisaly is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly were as follows:
    16.09.2025 Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 0:0
    04.04.2025 Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 1:1
    08.11.2024 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly 2:1
    23.04.2024 Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 2:1
    06.12.2023 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly 3:0
    Latest results of Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
    Latest results of Al-Faisaly
    21.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Abha 0:2
    16.01.2026 Al-Batin - Al-Faisaly 1:2
    11.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah 1:2
    06.01.2026 Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly 2:1
    01.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al Raed 5:3
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha28225159:223771
    2Al Diriyah28195468:284062
    3Al-Ula28167560:283255
    4Al-Faisaly281410456:332352
    5Al Orubah28155844:35950
    6Al Jabalain28147749:341549
    7Al Raed28129752:371545
    8Al Zulfi28109938:35339
    9Al Taee281081041:39238
    10Al Bukiryah281141330:40-1037
    11Al Anwar28811942:41135
    12Jeddah288101030:39-934
    13Al Wehda28961342:51-933
    14Al Jandal28781326:48-2229
    15Al Adalah28391634:63-2918
    16Al Arabi28442014:51-3716
    17Al Batin28361929:57-2815
    18Al Jubail28352024:57-3314

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