Al-Arabi Al-Saudi vs Al-Faisaly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
26/01/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.412.04
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
24
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
30
Passes
75% (232/311)87% (531/611)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.412.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.341.82
Total shots
713
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
311
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
1637
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
14
Free kicks
810
Passes
75% (232/311)87% (531/611)
Long passes
35% (19/54)67% (31/46)
Passes in final third
61% (63/103)72% (94/131)
Crosses
18% (3/17)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.492.00
Throw ins
1732
Fouls
108
Tackles
45% (9/20)94% (16/17)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
2820
Interceptions
1613
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.820.34
Goals prevented
-1.180.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Al Mhemaid A. ,
  • 18', Al Mhemaid A. 🟨,
  • 33', Al Sahli N. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 2, Luvannor , Morato (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Waheeb W. , Al Zaqan A. ,
  • 46', Al Bishi B. , Al Rashidi H. ,
  • 46', 0 - 3, Quioto R. ,
  • 63', Al Sufyani M. , Al Salem M. ,
  • 72', Quioto R. , Al Fuhaid M. ,
  • 72', Luvannor , Al Sahli A. ,
  • 72', Al Mhemaid A. , Al Mogren A. ,
  • 74', Faraj A. , Ciss A. ,
  • 79', Al Sahli N. 🟨,
  • 80', Doshy M. , Al Shanqiti M. ,
  • 80', Al Shereaf A. , Jahfali M. ,
  • 85', Idris R. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Al Fuhaid M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
10.7%
Draw
18%
Al-Faisaly
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 25.3% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 23.3% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Faisaly's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-26.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.51
    (3.48)
    5.09
    (3.59)
    1.28
    (1.87)
    9.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Faisaly (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Faisaly will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 2.
    • Al-Arabi has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Al-Faisaly's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Arabi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Faisaly is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly were as follows:
    16.09.2025 Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 0:0
    04.04.2025 Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 1:1
    08.11.2024 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly 2:1
    23.04.2024 Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 2:1
    06.12.2023 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly 3:0
    Latest results of Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
    Latest results of Al-Faisaly
    21.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Abha 0:2
    16.01.2026 Al-Batin - Al-Faisaly 1:2
    11.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah 1:2
    06.01.2026 Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly 2:1
    01.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al Raed 5:3
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha ✔ 31245263:273677
    2Al Diriyah31206572:333966
    3Al-Faisaly311810368:323664
    4Al-Ula31188564:303462
    5Al Orubah31175947:371056
    6Al Jabalain31158854:361853
    7Al Raed31139956:411548
    8Al Zulfi3111101041:38343
    9Al Bukiryah311261334:43-942
    10Al Taee311181244:45-141
    11Al Wehda311171350:54-440
    12Al Anwar319111147:47038
    13Jeddah318111231:45-1435
    14Al Jandal31781629:54-2529
    15Al Adalah31591739:69-3024
    16Al Batin31462135:64-2918
    17Al Arabi31462118:57-3918
    18Al Jubail31352325:65-4014

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League