Result
3:1
13/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (343/410) | 80% (247/309) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 69% (72/104) | 72% (73/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 24% (5/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 72% (13/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Youssouf Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Fernandes J. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Al Zarie H. (A),
- 62', Qasmi A. 🟨,
- 65', 3 - 0, Batna M. (Pen),
- 66', Tweh S. ↓, Al Ghamdi R. ↑,
- 67', Al Othman O. ↓, Al Zaid S. ↑,
- 67', Sbai A. ↓, Al Masoud A. ↑,
- 81', Al Jayzani H. ↓, Al Yousif A. ↑,
- 81', Al Khaibri T. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Gonzalez O. ⚽,
- 87', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Masoud N. ↑,
- 87', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
- 89', Vargas M. ↓, Al Sharfa S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
61.3% | Draw
22.4% | Al Raed
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Al Fateh - Al Raed Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.53) |
4.18 ↑
(4.09) |
5.77 ↑
(5.7) |
6.3%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al Raed?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Al Raed will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Fateh: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 4.
- Recent matches Al Fateh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Al Raed is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Al Fateh is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31:26 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al Fateh won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al Raed?
Al Fateh has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Raed won against Al Fateh?
Al Raed has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al Raed were as follows:
26.10.2024
Al Raed
-
Al Fateh
2:1
18.04.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al Raed
3:1
27.10.2023
Al Raed
-
Al Fateh
1:2
10.04.2023
Al Raed
-
Al Fateh
0:3
15.10.2022
Al Fateh
-
Al Raed
1:0
Latest results of Al Fateh
Latest results of Al Raed
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
