Result
3:1
01/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (231/276) | 85% (385/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (231/276) | 85% (385/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (34/56) | 53% (26/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (44/65) | 72% (105/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
- 4', 2 - 0, Bendebka S. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
- 13', 2 - 1, Guanca C. ⚽,
- 16', 3 - 1, Batna M. ⚽,
- 40', Al Gulaymish N. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Bonaventura G. ↓, Al Shanqeeti Y. ↑,
- 62', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Kanabah M. ↑,
- 70', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Baattia S. ↑,
- 70', Machado M. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
- 80', Carrasco Y. 🟨,
- 80', Bendebka S. 🟨,
- 82', Saadane M. 🟨,
- 85', Al Zarie H. ↓, Qasim H. ↑,
- 86', Sbai A. ↓, Al Dohaim A. ↑,
- 90+1', Podence D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Podence D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Batna M. ↓, Al Othman O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
37.2% | Draw
24% | Al-Shabab Riyadh
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Fateh's performance.Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Shabab Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Fateh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shabab Riyadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(3.04) |
3.94 ↓
(4.03) |
2.41 ↑
(2.01) |
6.6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 0.
- Al Fateh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Shabab is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams, Al Fateh won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al Fateh has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al Fateh?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
05.12.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
2:2
27.05.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
3:2
15.12.2023
Al Fateh
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:1
31.10.2023
Al Fateh
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:2
03.05.2023
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
1:0
Latest results of Al Fateh
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Khaleej | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Fayha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Damac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Neom SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Najma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Okhdood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Taawon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
