Al Fateh vs Al-Shabab Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Fateh club stadium (Al-Hofuf).

Saudi Professional League - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	2.00
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	12
Passes
84% (231/276)	85% (385/453)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	2.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.91	0.57
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
7	7
Blocked Shots
0	6
Shots inside the Box
6	11
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	12
Touches in opposition box
21	43
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
84% (231/276)	85% (385/453)
Long passes
61% (34/56)	53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
68% (44/65)	72% (105/146)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	1.62
Throw-ins
18	27
Fouls
14	9
Tackles
50% (12/24)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
52	51
Clearances
46	13
Interceptions
13	5
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.57	2.91
Goals prevented
-0.43	-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
4', 2 - 0, Bendebka S. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
13', 2 - 1, Guanca C. ⚽,
16', 3 - 1, Batna M. ⚽,
40', Al Gulaymish N. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Bonaventura G. ↓, Al Shanqeeti Y. ↑,
62', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Kanabah M. ↑,
70', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Baattia S. ↑,
70', Machado M. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
80', Carrasco Y. 🟨,
80', Bendebka S. 🟨,
82', Saadane M. 🟨,
85', Al Zarie H. ↓, Qasim H. ↑,
86', Sbai A. ↓, Al Dohaim A. ↑,
90+1', Podence D. 🟨,
90+2', Podence D. 🟨,
90+6', Batna M. ↓, Al Othman O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al Fateh
37.2%

Draw
24%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

23.1%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

22.9%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Fateh's performance.

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Shabab Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Fateh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shabab Riyadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.04)	3.94 ↓ (4.03)	2.41 ↑ (2.01)	6.6% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 0.
Al Fateh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Al-Shabab is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams, Al Fateh won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10 (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?

Al Fateh has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al Fateh?

Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:

05.12.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh 2:2

27.05.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh 3:2

15.12.2023 Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1

31.10.2023 Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:2

03.05.2023 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh 1:0

Latest results of Al Fateh

23.04.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh 2:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah 2:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al Fateh 1:5 ✺

06.04.2025 Al-Feiha - Al Fateh 1:1 ✺

13.03.2025 Al Fateh - Al Raed 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh

21.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 0:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Kholood 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3 ✺

01.04.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 3:2 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	4	4	0	0	14:1	13	12
2	Al Ittihad	4	3	0	1	10:6	4	9
3	Al Taawon	4	3	0	1	8:8	0	9
4	Al Hilal	4	2	2	0	10:6	4	8
5	Al Ahli SC	4	2	2	0	6:3	3	8
6	Al Qadisiya	3	2	1	0	7:4	3	7
7	Al Ettifaq	4	2	1	1	6:6	0	7
8	Al Khaleej	4	2	0	2	8:4	4	6
9	Neom SC	3	2	0	1	3:2	1	6
10	Al Kholood	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
11	Al Fayha	3	1	1	1	2:4	-2	4
12	Al Shabab	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
13	Al Riyadh	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
14	Al Hazem	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
15	Al Fateh	3	0	1	2	3:6	-3	1
16	Damac	4	0	1	3	4:8	-4	1
17	Al Najma	3	0	0	3	2:6	-4	0
18	Al Okhdood	4	0	0	4	5:12	-7	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1