Al Fateh vs Al-Shabab Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League
Result
2:0
03/01/2026 at 08:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
brazilBrazilBandSports
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.960.52
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
75% (274/367)69% (179/261)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.960.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.910.12
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
2519
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
2019
Passes
75% (274/367)69% (179/261)
Long passes
48% (41/85)41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
61% (65/107)57% (60/105)
Crosses
29% (4/14)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
2.010.51
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
1920
Tackles
38% (10/26)60% (9/15)
Duels won
7056
Clearances
2518
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.121.91
Goals prevented
0.12-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Bendebka S. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
  • 17', Al Jari Z. ↓, Al Swealem A. ↑,
  • 19', Al Sibyani H. K. A. 🟨,
  • 27', Al Subiani F. 🟨,
  • 41', Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↓, Al Gulaymish N. ↑,
  • 45+1', Batna M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Al Subiani F. 🟨,
  • 56', Carrasco Y. 🟨,
  • 58', Baattia S. 🟨,
  • 60', Al Fawaz A. ↓, Youssouf Z. ↑,
  • 62', Makki A. 🟥,
  • 65', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
  • 79', Wesley Delgado ↓, Al Masoud A. ↑,
  • 79', Saadane M. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
  • 88', Al Hammami H. ↓, Abdullah M. ↑,
  • 88', Carlos Junior ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
  • 90+4', Masoud N. ↓, Al Sahihi M. ↑,
  • 90+4', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Al Zubaidi F. ⚽,
  • 90+6', Al Zubaidi F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al Fateh
37.4%		Draw
26.9%		Al-Shabab Riyadh
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 25.9% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 25.8% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.44 ↑
    (2.28)    		 3.39 ↓
    (3.57)    		 2.57 ↓
    (2.75)    		 9.3%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Al-Shabab will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Fateh (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Al Fateh (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al Fateh (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 1.
    • Recent performances by Al Fateh have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Shabab is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 3:1
    05.12.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh 2:2
    27.05.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh 3:2
    15.12.2023 Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1
    31.10.2023 Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:2
    Latest results of Al Fateh
    29.12.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al Fateh 0:1 ✺
    26.12.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Al-Hilal - Al Fateh 4:1
    22.11.2025 Al-Hilal - Al Fateh 2:1 ✺
    07.11.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Taawoun 2:5 ✺
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    31.12.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya 2:3 ✺
    27.12.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:0 ✺
    23.12.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Rayyan 2:2 ✺
    29.11.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 4:1
    23.11.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1 ✺
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr27231376:215570
    2Al Hilal28208075:255068
    3Al Ahli SC28206255:203566
    4Al Qadsiah28187365:293661
    5Al Taawon27137749:351446
    6Al Ittihad28136945:38745
    7Al Ettifaq281261041:49-842
    8Neom SC281161136:39-339
    9Al Fayha28971235:43-834
    10Al Khaleej27871246:46031
    11Al Hazem27871229:48-1931
    12Al Shabab27791134:40-630
    13Al Fateh27771334:48-1428
    14Al Kholood28821836:56-2026
    15Damac284111325:46-2123
    16Al Riyadh28581529:52-2323
    17Al Okhdood27441923:57-3416
    18Al Najma27152125:66-418

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