Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.94 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (384/437) | 85% (312/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.94 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (384/437) | 85% (312/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 66% (37/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (109/138) | 73% (72/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Hamdallah A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 36', Adli Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 0, Carrasco Y. ⚽,
- 63', Ince B. ↓, Al Lazam K. ↑,
- 64', Sierro V. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
- 69', Al Asmari A. 🟨,
- 74', Pedroza J. ↓, Borrell M. ↑,
- 77', Adli Y. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
- 79', Narey K. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
- 79', Asiri N. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
- 84', Borrell M. 🟨,
- 88', Azaizeh A. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
- 89', Fagihy M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Shabab Riyadh
74.5% | Draw
15.6% | Al Akhdoud
9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shabab Riyadh's performance.Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.35) |
6.12 ↑
(4.98) |
9.44 ↑
(7.18) |
7.1%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Shabab: 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Al-Shabab (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Al-Shabab is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al Akhdoud is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Shabab may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Shabab is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al Akhdoud?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud were as follows:
23.11.2025
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:1
17.04.2025
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al Akhdoud
0:0
22.11.2024
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:1
22.12.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:0
14.08.2023
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al Akhdoud
1:1
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 82:24 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 31 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 81:26 | 55 | 77 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 74:32 | 42 | 68 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 57:41 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 46 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:53 | -19 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 52:50 | 2 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Fateh | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 38:48 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 31 |
| 15 | Damac | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 32:62 | -30 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 24:68 | -44 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 31 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
