Result
3:2
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (459/523) | 81% (315/389) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (459/523) | 81% (315/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (35/58) | 58% (34/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/112) | 63% (69/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 89% (17/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.36 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Martinez Tobinson R. B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Al Mufarrij M. ↓, Al Dossari M. ↑,
- 54', Baattia S. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 0, Pacheco F. (Own goal),
- 63', 3 - 0, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, Mahzari M. (A),
- 66', Al Hamad F. ↓, Al Othman O. ↑,
- 66', Masoud N. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
- 66', Al Aboud M. ↓, Ramos Jefferson ↑,
- 68', 3 - 1, Ramos Jefferson ⚽, Wesley Delgado (A),
- 70', Biel ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
- 70', Petkov M. ↓, Al Qahtani M. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Al Masoud A. ⚽, Wesley Delgado (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Taawoun
49.1% | Draw
26.4% | Al Fateh
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.86) |
3.5 ↓
(3.83) |
3.75 ↑
(3.66) |
8.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Al Fateh will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Taawoun: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Taawoun (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al Fateh (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 3.
- Al-Taawoun is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Al Fateh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Taawoun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Al-Taawoun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Taawoun won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taawoun won against Al Fateh?
Al-Taawoun has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Taawoun?
Al Fateh has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Taawoun - Al Fateh were as follows:
07.11.2025
Al Fateh
-
Al-Taawoun
2:5
01.03.2025
Al Fateh
-
Al-Taawoun
1:2
05.10.2024
Al-Taawoun
-
Al Fateh
2:0
23.12.2023
Al-Taawoun
-
Al Fateh
1:3
13.08.2023
Al Fateh
-
Al-Taawoun
1:1
Latest results of Al-Taawoun
Latest results of Al Fateh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 25 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 66:19 | 47 | 64 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 62 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 25 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 66:23 | 43 | 61 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 57 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45:31 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36:43 | -7 | 39 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 44:39 | 5 | 30 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 12 | Al Hazem | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 27:46 | -19 | 28 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 26 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 25 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 33:46 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 | Damac | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 21:41 | -20 | 19 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22:48 | -26 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 25 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 22:55 | -33 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 25 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 22:58 | -36 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
