Result
2:3
25/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 6
- Referee: Al Ruwaili A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (398/464) | 74% (175/237) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (398/464) | 74% (175/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (26/38) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/118) | 50% (28/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (14/42) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 2.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', Jang Hyun-Soo 🟨,
- 11', Amaro A. 🟨,
- 11', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Traore D. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Roger Guedes ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
- 44', 1 - 2, Al Ganehi A. ⚽, Fadlalla S. (A),
- 45+5', Al Ganehi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Sassi F. 🟨,
- 61', Gaber J. ↓, Surag M. ↑,
- 61', Rodrigo ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
- 75', Al Minhali A. ↓, Ahmed H. ↑,
- 75', Wesley ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
- 82', Diaz F. 🟥,
- 83', 2 - 2, Roger Guedes (Pen),
- 87', Gregore 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Brahimi Y. (Pen),
- 90+2', Yousif A. ↓, Alaaeldin A. ↑,
- 90+6', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', Joselu ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
- 90+7', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Sano S. ↑,
- 90+9', Hamed J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Rayyan
54.7% | Draw
22% | Al-Gharafa
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Rayyan's performance.Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.92) |
4.24 ↑
(3.82) |
4 ↑
(3.35) |
7.3%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Rayyan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Gharafa (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Rayyan will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 1.
- Al-Rayyan is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Gharafa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Rayyan has had a series of home games.
- Al-Rayyan could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:39. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Rayyan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Rayyan won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Rayyan has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Rayyan?
Al-Gharafa has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
24.05.2025
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Gharafa
1:2
29.01.2025
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Gharafa
2:2
23.08.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Rayyan
2:1
01.05.2024
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Gharafa
2:1
17.03.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Rayyan
3:0
Latest results of Al-Rayyan
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Qatar SC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Shamal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Al-Duhail | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Al Wakra | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Sadd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Arabi | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:22 | -10 | 7 |
| 9 | Al Sailiya | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Umm-Salal | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
