Al-Rayyan vs Al-Gharafa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Qatar QSL Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa
Result
2:3
25/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • QSL - Round 6
  • Referee: Al Ruwaili A. (Qat)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
qatarQatarShoof

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.841.67
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
86% (398/464)74% (175/237)
Yellow Cards
27
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.841.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.401.98
Total shots
168
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
2911
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
86% (398/464)74% (175/237)
Long passes
68% (26/38)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
70% (83/118)50% (28/56)
Crosses
33% (14/42)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.251.02
Throw-ins
2512
Fouls
1416
Tackles
55% (6/11)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4543
Clearances
834
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.982.40
Goals prevented
-1.020.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', Jang Hyun-Soo 🟨,
  • 11', Amaro A. 🟨,
  • 11', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Traore D. , Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Roger Guedes , Mitrovic A. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 2, Al Ganehi A. , Fadlalla S. (A),
  • 45+5', Al Ganehi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Sassi F. 🟨,
  • 61', Gaber J. , Surag M. ,
  • 61', Rodrigo , Tiago Silva ,
  • 75', Al Minhali A. , Ahmed H. ,
  • 75', Wesley , Gabriel Pereira ,
  • 82', Diaz F. 🟥,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Roger Guedes (Pen),
  • 87', Gregore 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Brahimi Y. (Pen),
  • 90+2', Yousif A. , Alaaeldin A. ,
  • 90+6', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Joselu , Hamed J. ,
  • 90+7', Al Ganehi A. , Sano S. ,
  • 90+9', Hamed J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Rayyan
54.7%
Draw
22%
Al-Gharafa
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 24.2% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 23.2% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Rayyan's performance.
  • Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.92)
    4.24
    (3.82)
    4
    (3.35)
    7.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Rayyan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Gharafa (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Al-Rayyan will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 1.
    • Al-Rayyan is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Al-Gharafa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al-Rayyan has had a series of home games.
    • Al-Rayyan could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:39. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Rayyan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 1:2
    29.01.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:2
    23.08.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Rayyan 2:1
    01.05.2024 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:1
    17.03.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Rayyan 3:0
    Latest results of Al-Rayyan
    23.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Wakrah 4:3
    21.09.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Rayyan 0:3
    13.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Qatar SC 1:1
    03.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Qatar SC 4:1
    28.08.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    22.09.2025 Muaither - Al-Gharafa 5:2
    20.09.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 0:0
    15.09.2025 Al-Sharjah - Al-Gharafa 4:3
    12.09.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 2:0
    01.09.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd 3:3
    Qatar QSL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamal642012:6614
    2Qatar SC642010:4614
    3Al-Gharafa641111:7413
    4Al Wakra632112:11111
    5Al Rayyan631212:9310
    6Al-Duhail622213:678
    7Al-Sadd62228:628
    8Umm-Salal620412:15-36
    9Al Ahli Doha62047:13-66
    10Al-Shahaniya61143:7-44
    11Al Arabi61149:21-124
    12Al Sailiya61057:11-43

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          QSL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 2