Result
2:3
25/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 6
- Referee: Al Ruwaili A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.84 | 1.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
86% (398/464) | 74% (175/237) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 7 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.84 | 1.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.40 | 1.98 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
86% (398/464) | 74% (175/237) |
Long passes |
---|
68% (26/38) | 42% (25/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (83/118) | 50% (28/56) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (14/42) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.25 | 1.02 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
8 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.98 | 2.40 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.02 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', Jang Hyun-Soo 🟨,
- 11', Amaro A. 🟨,
- 11', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Traore D. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Roger Guedes ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
- 44', 1 - 2, Al Ganehi A. ⚽, Fadlalla S. (A),
- 45+5', Al Ganehi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Sassi F. 🟨,
- 61', Gaber J. ↓, Surag M. ↑,
- 61', Rodrigo ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
- 75', Al Minhali A. ↓, Ahmed H. ↑,
- 75', Wesley ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
- 82', Diaz F. 🟥,
- 83', 2 - 2, Roger Guedes (Pen),
- 87', Gregore 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Brahimi Y. (Pen),
- 90+2', Yousif A. ↓, Alaaeldin A. ↑,
- 90+6', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', Joselu ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
- 90+7', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Sano S. ↑,
- 90+9', Hamed J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Rayyan 54.7% | Draw 22% | Al-Gharafa 23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Rayyan's performance.Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↓ (1.92) |
4.24 ↑ (3.82) |
4 ↑ (3.35) |
7.3% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Rayyan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Gharafa (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Rayyan will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 1.
- Al-Rayyan is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Gharafa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Rayyan has had a series of home games.
- Al-Rayyan could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:39. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Rayyan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Rayyan won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Rayyan has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Rayyan?
Al-Gharafa has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
24.05.2025
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Gharafa
1:2
29.01.2025
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Gharafa
2:2
23.08.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Rayyan
2:1
01.05.2024
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Gharafa
2:1
17.03.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Rayyan
3:0
Latest results of Al-Rayyan
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shamal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Qatar SC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
3 | Al-Gharafa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
4 | Al Wakra | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
5 | Al Rayyan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Al-Duhail | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 8 |
7 | Al-Sadd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Umm-Salal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 6 |
9 | Al Ahli Doha | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
10 | Al-Shahaniya | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
11 | Al Arabi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:21 | -12 | 4 |
12 | Al Sailiya | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2