Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (301/368) | 88% (447/508) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (301/368) | 88% (447/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 54% (22/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (37/66) | 81% (112/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Joselu ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 54', 2 - 0, Sassi F. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 69', Leonel Ateba ↓, Farhan A. ↑,
- 69', Qasim A. ↓, Moumouni B. ↑,
- 69', Sadoun M. ↓, Abdulkadhim S. ↑,
- 73', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
- 83', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Holgate M. ↑,
- 83', Ashabi M. ↓, Amin R. ↑,
- 89', Jang Hyun-Soo ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 90+2', Joselu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa
47.8% | Draw
26.8% | Al-Shorta Baghdad
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shorta Baghdad's recent form is better than expected.
Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.55) |
3.53 ↓
(4.05) |
3.73 ↓
(5.75) |
5.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Al-Gharafa (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Al-Shorta (2.24) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Al-Shorta (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Shorta (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Al-Gharafa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Gharafa is the team to beat.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Al-Gharafa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
