Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shorta Baghdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.89
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
32
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Long passes
52% (32/61)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
56% (37/66)81% (112/139)
Crosses
40% (2/5)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.80
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
23
Tackles
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
2817
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
0.891.59
Goals prevented
0.89-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Joselu , Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 0, Sassi F. , Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 69', Leonel Ateba , Farhan A. ,
  • 69', Qasim A. , Moumouni B. ,
  • 69', Sadoun M. , Abdulkadhim S. ,
  • 73', Al Ganehi A. , Coman F. ,
  • 83', Gunnarsson A. , Holgate M. ,
  • 83', Ashabi M. , Amin R. ,
  • 89', Jang Hyun-Soo , Traore D. ,
  • 90+2', Joselu 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Gharafa
47.8%
Draw
26.8%
Al-Shorta Baghdad
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 23.1% 16.3%

Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.98
(1.55)
3.53
(4.05)
3.73
(5.75)
5.7%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Al-Gharafa (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Al-Shorta (2.24) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Al-Shorta (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Shorta (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Al-Gharafa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Al-Gharafa is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    25.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:3
    22.09.2025 Muaither - Al-Gharafa 5:2
    20.09.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 0:0
    15.09.2025 Al-Sharjah - Al-Gharafa 4:3
    12.09.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 2:0
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe ✔ 751114:6816
    2Machida ✔ 742112:5714
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ 74218:4414
    4Melbourne City74129:7213
    5Buriram73228:8011
    6Seoul72328:719
    7Johor DT72237:708
    8Gangwon72239:11-28
    9Ulsan HD72236:8-28
    10Chengdu Rongcheng71335:8-36
    11Shanghai Shenhua71155:11-64
    12Shanghai Port70342:11-93


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 761015:51019
    2Al Ahli SC ✔ 742117:61114
    3Tractor ✔ 742110:4614
    4Al Wahda ✔ 742110:5514
    5Al Ittihad ✔ 740318:81012
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai732211:10111
    7Al-Duhail722314:1318
    8Al-Sadd722311:12-18
    9Al Sharjah72237:14-78
    10Al-Gharafa72057:19-126
    11Al Shorta70253:18-152
    12Nasaf Qarshi70167:16-91

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Ahli SC is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Ittihad is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)