Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shorta Baghdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad
Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.89
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
32
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Long passes
52% (32/61)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
56% (37/66)81% (112/139)
Crosses
40% (2/5)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.80
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
23
Tackles
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
2817
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
0.891.59
Goals prevented
0.89-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Joselu , Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 0, Sassi F. , Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 69', Leonel Ateba , Farhan A. ,
  • 69', Qasim A. , Moumouni B. ,
  • 69', Sadoun M. , Abdulkadhim S. ,
  • 73', Al Ganehi A. , Coman F. ,
  • 83', Gunnarsson A. , Holgate M. ,
  • 83', Ashabi M. , Amin R. ,
  • 89', Jang Hyun-Soo , Traore D. ,
  • 90+2', Joselu 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Gharafa
47.8%
Draw
26.8%
Al-Shorta Baghdad
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 23.1% 16.3%

Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.98
(1.55)
3.53
(4.05)
3.73
(5.75)
5.7%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Al-Shorta (2.24) (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Al-Gharafa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Al-Gharafa is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    25.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:3
    22.09.2025 Muaither - Al-Gharafa 5:2
    20.09.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 0:0
    15.09.2025 Al-Sharjah - Al-Gharafa 4:3
    12.09.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 2:0
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe43018:449
    2Johor DT42116:337
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima42114:227
    4Ulsan HD42114:317
    5Gangwon42026:606
    6Buriram42025:6-16
    7Melbourne City42024:5-16
    8Seoul41214:315
    9Machida41214:315
    10Shanghai Shenhua41125:6-14
    11Chengdu Rongcheng41122:4-24
    12Shanghai Port40131:8-71


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal440010:5512
    2Al Ahli SC431012:5710
    3Al Wahda43107:3410
    4Tractor42207:168
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai42117:617
    6Al Ittihad42028:446
    7Al-Duhail41128:804
    8Al Sharjah41125:12-74
    9Al-Gharafa41036:10-43
    10Al-Sadd40224:7-32
    11Al Shorta40132:8-61
    12Nasaf Qarshi40046:13-70

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