Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shorta Baghdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad
Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.89
Total shots
817
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
32
Passes
82% (301/368)88% (447/508)
Long passes
52% (32/61)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
56% (37/66)81% (112/139)
Crosses
40% (2/5)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.80
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
23
Tackles
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
2817
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
0.891.59
Goals prevented
0.89-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Joselu , Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 0, Sassi F. , Brahimi Y. (A),
  • 69', Leonel Ateba , Farhan A. ,
  • 69', Qasim A. , Moumouni B. ,
  • 69', Sadoun M. , Abdulkadhim S. ,
  • 73', Al Ganehi A. , Coman F. ,
  • 83', Gunnarsson A. , Holgate M. ,
  • 83', Ashabi M. , Amin R. ,
  • 89', Jang Hyun-Soo , Traore D. ,
  • 90+2', Joselu 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Gharafa
47.8%
Draw
26.8%
Al-Shorta Baghdad
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 23.1% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shorta Baghdad's recent form is better than expected.
  • Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.55)
    3.53
    (4.05)
    3.73
    (5.75)
    5.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Al-Shorta (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Al-Gharafa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Al-Gharafa is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    25.09.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 2:3
    22.09.2025 Muaither - Al-Gharafa 5:2
    20.09.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 0:0
    15.09.2025 Al-Sharjah - Al-Gharafa 4:3
    12.09.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 2:0
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ulsan HD32104:227
    2Vissel Kobe32017:436
    3Gangwon32016:516
    4Machida31203:125
    5Shanghai Shenhua31114:314
    6Seoul31114:314
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima31113:214
    8Johor DT31113:214
    9Melbourne City31022:4-23
    10Chengdu Rongcheng31022:4-23
    11Buriram31023:6-33
    12Shanghai Port30121:6-51


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal33008:449
    2Al Ahli SC321010:467
    3Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai32106:247
    4Al Wahda32105:237
    5Tractor31206:155
    6Al Sharjah31115:9-44
    7Al Ittihad31025:413
    8Al-Gharafa31025:8-33
    9Al-Sadd30213:5-22
    10Al-Duhail30124:7-31
    11Al Shorta30122:7-51
    12Nasaf Qarshi30035:11-60

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