Result
2:0
14/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Al-Gharraf
27% | Draw
35.9% | Al-Naft
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharraf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharraf's form might have worsened.Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Gharraf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Al-Gharraf - Al-Naft Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.78) |
2.52 ↓
(2.78) |
2.44 ↓
(2.6) |
10.6%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Al-Gharraf - Al-Naft?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Naft will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).
- Al-Gharraf has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Naft's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharraf won against Al-Naft?
Al-Gharraf has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Naft won against Al-Gharraf?
Al-Naft has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharraf - Al-Naft were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Gharraf
Latest results of Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Erbil | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 35:18 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 31:20 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Zakho | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 31:19 | 12 | 40 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Duhok | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Newroz | 23 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Diyala | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 19 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 23 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7:52 | -45 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
