Result
2:1
25/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Neto Acara (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, Kuku K. ⚽,
- 81', Nadhim A. 🟥,
- 84', 2 - 1, Hussein M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Newroz
39.1% | Draw
34.3% | Al-Gharraf
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newroz's form might have worsened.Al-Gharraf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newroz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (-2%)
Newroz - Al-Gharraf Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.01) |
2.63 ↓
(3.08) |
3.38 ↓
(3.57) |
10.9%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13).
- Newroz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Gharraf has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newroz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Newroz could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Newroz will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newroz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Newroz won against Al-Gharraf?
Newroz has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharraf won against Newroz?
Al-Gharraf has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newroz - Al-Gharraf were as follows:
10.01.2026
Al-Gharraf
-
Newroz
0:1
Latest results of Al-Gharraf
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 51:20 | 31 | 74 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 64:30 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 | Erbil | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 33 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 46:27 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Al Talaba | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 47:31 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 54 |
| 7 | Zakho | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Newroz | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 47 |
| 10 | Duhok | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Diyala | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 32 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13:80 | -67 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
