Result
2:1
25/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Neto Acara (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, Kuku K. ⚽,
- 81', Nadhim A. 🟥,
- 84', 2 - 1, Hussein M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Newroz
39.1% | Draw
34.3% | Al-Gharraf
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newroz's form might have worsened.Al-Gharraf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newroz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (-2%)
Newroz - Al-Gharraf Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.01) |
2.63 ↓
(3.08) |
3.38 ↓
(3.57) |
10.9%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13).
- Newroz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Gharraf has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newroz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Newroz could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Newroz will win today's game, with odds of 1.99.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newroz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Newroz won against Al-Gharraf?
Newroz has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharraf won against Newroz?
Al-Gharraf has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newroz - Al-Gharraf were as follows:
10.01.2026
Al-Gharraf
-
Newroz
0:1
Latest results of Al-Gharraf
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Talaba | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 50 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19:51 | -32 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
