Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', 0 - 1, Fariq R. ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 1, Ridha F. ⚽,
- 90+4', Claudio Maradona 🟥,
- 90+14', 2 - 1, Louay A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Najaf
18.9% | Draw
28.3% | Newroz
52.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Najaf - Newroz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.77 ↑
(4.7) |
3.19 ↓
(3.56) |
1.71 ↑
(1.65) |
10.8%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Najaf is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Newroz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Newroz has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Newroz is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Najaf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Najaf won against Newroz?
Najaf has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newroz won against Najaf?
Newroz has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Najaf - Newroz were as follows:
20.02.2026
Newroz
-
Najaf
2:0
08.05.2025
Najaf
-
Newroz
0:1
25.10.2024
Newroz
-
Najaf
Postponed
23.06.2024
Newroz
-
Najaf
0:3
24.11.2022
Najaf
-
Newroz
2:1
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 51:20 | 31 | 74 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 61:30 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Erbil | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Zakho | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Newroz | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Diyala | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Duhok | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 32 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13:80 | -67 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
