Result
1:5
18/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | BandSports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (281/352) | 87% (577/667) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (281/352) | 87% (577/667) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 69% (33/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/98) | 79% (163/207) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Al Dakheel A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 5)
- 53', Al Habashi N. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Retegui M. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
- 57', Hazazi A. A. ↓, Gabriel Carvalho ↑,
- 57', Al Shahrani Y. ↓, Thakri J. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 2, Al Juwayr M. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
- 62', Carvalho M. ↓, Sayoud A. ↑,
- 62', Al Habashi N. ↓, Martins F. ↑,
- 68', Mokwana E. ↓, Al Shamrani A. ↑,
- 68', Al Sayyali B. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 3, Quinones J. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
- 77', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
- 77', Retegui M. ↓, Rajab S. ↑,
- 79', Al Shammari Y. ↓, Al Yami M. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 4, Al Nakhli A. (Own goal),
- 86', 1 - 4, Bah A. ⚽,
- 87', Fernandez N. ↓, Lajami Q. ↑,
- 88', Thakri J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 5, Abu Al Shamat M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al Hazem
13.3% | Draw
19.6% | Al-Qadisiya
67.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Hazem's form might have worsened.Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Qadisiya's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Hazem - Al-Qadisiya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.06 ↑
(5.07) |
4.81 ↑
(4.31) |
1.38 ↓
(1.56) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al Hazem - Al-Qadisiya?
Users Predictions:
Al-Qadisiya will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Qadisiya will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5).
- Al Hazem has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Qadisiya is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Hazem won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Al Hazem won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Hazem won against Al-Qadisiya?
Al Hazem has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al Hazem?
Al-Qadisiya has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Hazem - Al-Qadisiya were as follows:
28.10.2025
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al Hazem
3:1
06.03.2023
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al Hazem
1:1
10.10.2022
Al Hazem
-
Al-Qadisiya
1:0
Latest results of Al Hazem
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
