Result
03/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Al-Qadisiya
30.9% | Draw
24.1% | Al-Nassr Riyadh
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.55) |
3.82 ↑
(3.7) |
2.05 ↓
(2.25) |
8.4%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Al-Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
- Recent performances by Al-Qadisiya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Nassr is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Qadisiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al-Nassr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Qadisiya has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Qadisiya?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
08.01.2026
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Qadisiya
1:2
18.04.2025
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:1
22.11.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Qadisiya
1:2
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
