Al-Gharafa vs Al-Hilal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/11/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.99
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
83% (307/371)89% (544/610)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.55
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1138
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
147
Passes
83% (307/371)89% (544/610)
Long passes
49% (29/59)57% (24/42)
Passes in final third
60% (49/81)81% (137/170)
Crosses
25% (3/12)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.351.40
Throw-ins
1618
Fouls
714
Tackles
74% (14/19)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5148
Clearances
1813
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.550.33
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Al Dawsari S. , Cancelo J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Fadlalla S. , Al Ganehi A. ,
  • 62', Sano S. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Kaio Cesar , Hernandez T. (A),
  • 71', Sassi F. , Al Oui A. ,
  • 71', Surag A. , Gunnarsson A. ,
  • 74', Al Dawsari S. , Marcos Leonardo ,
  • 74', Cancelo J. , Al Yami H. ,
  • 75', Coman F. , Boussafi R. ,
  • 79', Marcos Leonardo 🟨,
  • 80', Neves R. , Al Malki A. ,
  • 87', Kaio Cesar , Darisi A. ,
  • 87', Al Hamdan A. , Radif A. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 2, Al Oui A. , Djalo A. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Al-Gharafa
8.7%
Draw
14%
Al-Hilal
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.2% 20.9% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9% 20.5% 65%

Al-Gharafa - Al-Hilal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
10.99
(6.2)
6.84
(4.5)
1.23
(1.47)
4.9%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Hilal?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Al-Hilal (1.76) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Al-Gharafa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Hilal is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Hilal is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Hilal were as follows:
    03.12.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Gharafa 3:0
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    30.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail 3:1
    27.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal 0:1
    25.10.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Gharafa 1:3
    17.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 0:3
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    28.10.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal 0:1
    21.10.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd 3:1
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe540110:4612
    2Melbourne City53026:519
    3Seoul52217:438
    4Machida52217:438
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima52215:328
    6Ulsan HD52214:318
    7Johor DT52126:517
    8Buriram52125:6-17
    9Gangwon52037:9-26
    10Chengdu Rongcheng51223:5-25
    11Shanghai Shenhua51135:8-34
    12Shanghai Port50142:11-91


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)