Result
3:5
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Asia | JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Channel 10 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, SporTV |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Strike, Strike |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 4 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/377) | 86% (358/414) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 3.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/377) | 86% (358/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (31/49) | 60% (31/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (107/146) | 80% (89/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.10 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | -1.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 11', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Brownhill J. ⚽, Balobaid S. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Kanno M. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 2, Al Bulayhi A. (Own goal),
- 44', 2 - 2, Hamdallah A. ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 3, Koulibaly K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', 2 - 4, Mandash S. ⚽, Kanno M. (A),
- 50', Mandash S. 🟨,
- 52', Neves R. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 5, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Mandash S. (A),
- 60', Al Saqour F. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
- 69', Kanno M. ↓, Darisi A. ↑,
- 69', Mandash S. ↓, Malcom ↑,
- 75', 3 - 5, Adli Y. ⚽, Balobaid S. (A),
- 79', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Al Dawsari S. ↑,
- 79', Al Harbi M. ↓, Al Dawood M. ↑,
- 83', Adli Y. 🟨,
- 90+4', Milinkovic-Savic S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Shabab Riyadh
18.8% | Draw
20.2% | Al-Hilal
61% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Hilal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.07 ↓
(6.1) |
4.6 ↓
(4.7) |
1.53 ↑
(1.41) |
7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Al-Shabab (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Hilal is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Hilal?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Hilal has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal were as follows:
31.10.2025
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:0
21.04.2025
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
2:2
30.11.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Hilal
1:2
30.03.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Hilal
3:4
29.09.2023
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
2:0
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 71:19 | 52 | 67 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 67:23 | 44 | 64 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 51:19 | 32 | 62 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 62:25 | 37 | 60 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 47:33 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:34 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:44 | -8 | 39 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:41 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 44:44 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 26 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 34:48 | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Damac | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25:49 | -24 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 22:57 | -35 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
